{"id":1436697,"date":"2023-11-01T14:40:43","date_gmt":"2023-11-01T18:40:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1436697"},"modified":"2023-11-01T14:40:43","modified_gmt":"2023-11-01T18:40:43","slug":"wti-holds-gains-after-small-crude-build-cushing-just-off-tank-bottoms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wti-holds-gains-after-small-crude-build-cushing-just-off-tank-bottoms\/1436697\/","title":{"rendered":"WTI Holds Gains After Small Crude Build, Cushing Just Off &#8216;Tank Bottoms&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">WTI Holds Gains After Small Crude Build, Cushing Just Off &#8216;Tank Bottoms&#8217;<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>Oil prices surged overnight, recovering all of yesterday&#8217;s losses after <strong>EIA made\u00a0substantial upward demand revisions<\/strong>\u00a0in its monthly reports (again) to the highest in four years. This combined with <strong>renewed war premia <\/strong>amid continuing escalations in the middle east with further incursions by Israel into Gaza and threats from <strong>Iran calling for exports of oil and goods from Muslim nations to Israel to stop<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>On the bright side, <strong>some foreigners and Palestinians were allowed to leave Gaza<\/strong> for the first time since Israel began its ground invasion on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>Also on the bearish oil side, <strong>manufacturing\u00a0in China, the world\u2019s biggest oil importer, fell back into contraction last month.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>So what will this morning&#8217;s official inventory and production data show?<\/p>\n<p><strong>API<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Crude +1.35mm (+500k exp)<\/p>\n<p>Cushing +375k<\/p>\n<p>Gasoline -357k (-500k exp)<\/p>\n<p>Distillates -2.48mm (-1.9mm exp)<\/p>\n<p><strong>DOE<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Crude +773k (+500k exp)<\/p>\n<p>Cushing +272k<\/p>\n<p>Gasoline +65k (-500k exp)<\/p>\n<p>Distillates -792k (-1.9mm exp)<\/p>\n<p>Crude inventories rose &#8211; very marginally &#8211; for the second straight week and stocks at Cushing also rose (against de minimously). Distillates saw the only notable draw &#8211; 5th week in a row&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm1157.jpg?itok=kNLp05U5\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The SPR was left untouched for the 4th week in a row&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm18C8_0.jpg?itok=a5lXVDHF\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Cushing remains barely off tank bottoms&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm29D_0.jpg?itok=0SSYfQNn\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>US Crude production was steady at record highs (13.2mm b\/d) as the rig count trends lower&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfmE4DB.jpg?itok=6Iv5rRxC\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>WTI was hovering around $83 and leaked lower after the print&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2023-11-01_07-39-10.jpg?itok=iAC8WVpv\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>We note that today&#8217;s bounce in WTI occurred right the 100DMA&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfmDC1F.jpg?itok=6RFuKND-\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Additionally, oil options are tentatively pricing in a smaller risk of escalation in the Middle East as a result of the Gaza war.<\/p>\n<p>As Bloomberg reports, a rare so-called call skew\u00a0emerged &#8211; and then became extreme &#8211; in oil options trading in the days after the war began. It meant traders were willing to pay more for protection against prices spiking than for insurance against a slump.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm8DB1_0.jpg?itok=HH-6Kbj0\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>But, as the chart shows, while the skew remains, it has reduced significantly &#8211; indicating less confidence that the war will spread\/escalate.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Wed, 11\/01\/2023 &#8211; 10:40<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/energy\/wti-holds-gains-after-small-crude-build-cushing-just-tank-bottoms\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/energy\/wti-holds-gains-after-small-crude-build-cushing-just-tank-bottoms<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WTI Holds Gains After Small Crude Build, Cushing Just Off &#8216;Tank Bottoms&#8217; Oil prices surged overnight, recovering all of yesterday&#8217;s losses after EIA made\u00a0substantial upward&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1436697","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1436697","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1436697"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1436697\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1436697"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1436697"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1436697"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}