{"id":1460600,"date":"2024-03-04T09:15:00","date_gmt":"2024-03-04T14:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1460600"},"modified":"2024-03-04T09:15:00","modified_gmt":"2024-03-04T14:15:00","slug":"the-weaponization-of-crude-could-trigger-the-next-financial-shock","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/the-weaponization-of-crude-could-trigger-the-next-financial-shock\/1460600\/","title":{"rendered":"The Weaponization Of Crude Could Trigger The Next Financial Shock"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">The Weaponization Of Crude Could Trigger The Next Financial Shock<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>Since Hamas launched a brutal terrorist attack on Israel on October 7 &#8211; and the resulting invasion of Gaza by the Israel Defense Forces shortly after to eradicate the terrorist group, the Biden administration has been scrambling to prevent a regional war from erupting during the US election cycle, all while the Federal Reserve is fighting the wicked inflation monster.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Deterring a regional war has been a significant challenge for the Biden administration and will likely require restraint on Israel&#8217;s part. The US&#8217; latest bombing campaign against dozens of Iran-backed militia targets across Yemen, Iraq, and Syria has only made the situation worse. At the same time, Houthi rebels continue causing chaos at a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/mufg-warns-higher-friction-geopolitics-puts-these-global-maritime-chokepoints-risk\">critical maritime chokepoint<\/a>\u00a0in the southern Red Sea.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>There has been an escalation in the Middle East crisis. Navigating this very uncertain macroeconomic climate as the post-1945 economic order fractures &#8211; is giving way to a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/multipolar-world-emerging\">dangerous multi-polar world<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/dasher8090\"><em>David Asher, a senior fellow at Hudson Institute<\/em><\/a>\u00a0and former investigator into Covid origins at the State Department, recently penned a note titled\u00a0<strong><em>&#8220;Navigating the New World Disorder: Economic Faultlines, Fissures, Fractures, and Failures.&#8221;\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_13-33-52.png?itok=gJWppwnM\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In this note, Asher points to a <strong>world that is in crisis, similar to the 1920s\/30s<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_14-56-47.png?itok=e-6uDlpc\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>On slide three, the macro strategist labels five &#8220;<strong>looming supply shocks<\/strong>&#8221; for the global economy.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_13-42-26.png?itok=xFD2kwhT\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>He asks:\u00a0<em>&#8220;Is this the end of the long economic growth cycle that has existed since 1947 or &#8220;just&#8221; a return to the 1970s?&#8221;\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_13-47-16.png?itok=Sm0B_nXp\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>While China&#8217;s economy struggles to recover, Asher asks another question:\u00a0<em>&#8220;Is Global Trade Recovering or Not?&#8221;\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_13-47-32.png?itok=YR27oAtI\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>On slide nine, given the mounting risks in the Middle East. He said:<strong> &#8220;Global oil shock could trigger a crisis ala 2007-2008.&#8221;\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_13-51-16.png?itok=gMDEF4JB\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>He described a series of\u00a0events that paint an awful gloomy outlook for the Middle East that have\u00a0significant\u00a0consequences for global markets.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_13-55-35.png?itok=aiAWalfN\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Slide thirty is titled: <strong>&#8220;Iran is Preparing For Oil War: Markets Ignore Growing Risk.&#8221;\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_13-56-17.png?itok=g6Qra_GV\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The next slide shows the US Navy needs to be better positioned in the Red Sea and Gulf area to respond to a major crisis. <strong>Not being prepared has been the theme so far<\/strong> with the <strong>failure of Biden&#8217;s Operation Prosperity Guardian<\/strong> to secure the critical Red Sea waterway.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_13-57-38.png?itok=3313g1OH\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Could Tehran use oil as an economic weapon against the West?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_13-58-22.png?itok=QtVgr-bs\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Consider the <strong>economic impacts of previous oil shocks<\/strong>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_13-59-12.png?itok=Z4PEtOmx\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is where <strong>readers need to pay attention<\/strong>:\u00a0Imagine the scenario where Yemen&#8217;s Houthi rebels start targeting key oil facilities in Saudi Arabia.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_14-44-39.png?itok=zLKpMqv4\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Remember 2019?<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Should a repeat of 2019 occur, then Brent crude prices could surge.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_19-54-42.png?itok=2JE2qwc5\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>And this would cause a massive headache for\u00a0Jerome Powell&#8217;s inflation fight.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_14-28-45.png?itok=lzS9x950\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Given all this, are defense stocks a good buy?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-03-03_14-01-12.png?itok=ByqQ7Bbw\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The <strong>core theme of this note is America&#8217;s adversaries in the Middle East could weaponize\u00a0energy to cause a financial shock<\/strong>. What is\u00a0necessary for the US military is not just to be focused on the Red Sea chokepoint but also on Saudi&#8217;s energy infrastructure because crude prices could be one attack away from spiking over the $100 a barrel level.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>There is good news: US <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/energy\/wti-drops-after-huge-crude-build-us-production-back-record-highs\">crude production<\/a> is at record highs. The bad news: radical climate change warriors in the White House have drained the SPR and crushed the\u00a0ability to expand\u00a0refining capacity.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A perfect storm of higher crude prices is brewing&#8230; All eyes on the Middle East.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Mon, 03\/04\/2024 &#8211; 04:15<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/weaponization-crude-could-trigger-next-financial-shock\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/weaponization-crude-could-trigger-next-financial-shock<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Weaponization Of Crude Could Trigger The Next Financial Shock Since Hamas launched a brutal terrorist attack on Israel on October 7 &#8211; and the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1460600","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pbimBl-67Y4","jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1460600","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1460600"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1460600\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1460600"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1460600"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1460600"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}