{"id":1469519,"date":"2024-06-05T13:25:00","date_gmt":"2024-06-05T17:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1469519"},"modified":"2024-06-05T13:25:00","modified_gmt":"2024-06-05T17:25:00","slug":"china-has-legitimate-reasons-not-to-participate-in-the-upcoming-swiss-peace-talks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/china-has-legitimate-reasons-not-to-participate-in-the-upcoming-swiss-peace-talks\/1469519\/","title":{"rendered":"China Has Legitimate Reasons Not To Participate In The Upcoming Swiss “Peace Talks”"},"content":{"rendered":"

China Has Legitimate Reasons Not To Participate In The Upcoming Swiss “Peace Talks”<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

China\u2019s objective national interests are advanced by positioning itself to play a key role in politically resolving the Ukrainian Conflict, even though it\u2019ll closely work in coordination with (and arguably through) Brazil to this end since the West won\u2019t participate in potentially forthcoming Chinese-hosted talks.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

The Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman\u00a0announced<\/a>\u00a0last Friday that her country won\u2019t participate in the upcoming Swiss \u201cpeace talks\u201d because they lack the \u201cthe three important elements of recognition from both Russia and Ukraine, equal participation of all parties, and fair discussion of all peace plans.\u201d<\/strong> She also referenced the\u00a0Sino-Brazilian joint statement<\/a>\u00a0from a few weeks back about their principles for peacefully resolving this conflict. What follows are several background briefings on this subject:<\/p>\n

* 1 March: \u201cChina\u2019s Shuttle Diplomacy Will Promote Its Peace Plan But Is Unlikely To End The Proxy War<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 20 March: \u201cThe Substance Of The Swiss Peace Talks Depends On Whether Russia Achieves A Breakthrough<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 5 May: \u201cMedvedev Has A Point About How Next Month\u2019s Swiss \u2018Peace Talks\u2019 Could Backfire On Ukraine<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 23 May: \u201cMedvedev\u2019s Tweet About The Upcoming Swiss \u2018Peace Talks\u2019 Risks Offending Close Russian Partners<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 25 May: \u201cRussia Is Open To Compromise But Won\u2019t Agree To A Ceasefire That Doesn\u2019t Meet Its Interests<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

To summarize, China wants to lead its own peace process, but the US won\u2019t allow\u00a0Ukraine<\/a>\u00a0to participate in any such talks hosted by its systemic rival <\/strong>since it doesn\u2019t want to give Beijing a grand diplomatic victory. The upcoming gathering in Switzerland won\u2019t amount to anything since Russia wasn\u2019t invited, nor would it be treated fairly if it was and it attended, which is why Medvedev doesn\u2019t want friendly states to take part in it. At the same time, President Putin signaled Russia\u2019s openness to compromise.<\/p>\n

Accordingly, China believes that it\u2019s possible for a non-Western peace process to arise in the wake of the inevitably failed Swiss one,<\/strong> likely in coordination with Brazil per those two\u2019s joint statement from a few weeks back. Like Moscow, Beijing also doesn\u2019t want other countries to attend the upcoming talks, albeit for its own reasons related to having them attend its own potentially forthcoming ones (possibly hosted by Brazil). These diplomatic dynamics are naturally occurring, but Zelensky doesn\u2019t see things that way.<\/p>\n

He smeared China over the weekend by\u00a0claiming<\/a>\u00a0that \u201cRussia, using Chinese influence on the region, using Chinese diplomats also, does everything to disrupt the peace summit. It is unfortunate that such a big, independent, powerful country as China is an instrument in the hands of Putin.\u201d <\/strong>The reality is that China has legitimate reasons not to participate in the event and to encourage others to follow its lead as explained. It\u2019s not sacrificing its objective national interests for Russia\u2019s sake as the latter\u2019s junior partner.<\/p>\n

Rather, these selfsame interests are served through its analyzed policy, which aims to lay the basis for a non-Western peace process to emerge before November\u2019s G20 Summit in Rio. The West hasn\u2019t ever skipped a G20 Summit, and Brazil has continued voting against Russia at the UN even after Lula\u2019s return to power so it can\u2019t be smeared as a Russian or Chinese puppet. <\/strong>Thus, there\u2019s no semi-plausible reason for the West not to participate in these talks there even if China helps organize them ahead of time.<\/p>\n

Prior to then, there might even be a Sino-Brazilian analogue to the upcoming Swiss talks sometime later this summer wherein one of those two organizes a multilateral summit on this conflict that the West and Ukraine might decline participating in, though both would probably be invited for appearance\u2019s sake. \u00a0Once the G20 Summit in Rio rolls around, China and Brazil could make the case that these parallel peace processes should be merged into a single one whose details would be hashed out during that meeting.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Considering how unlikely it is that the West would boycott the G20 solely because Brazil might decide to put this on the agenda, irrespective of the degree to which it\u2019s organized and promoted by China, it\u2019s very possible that a more inclusive and fair peace process could emerge by November. The basis upon which it would be built is\u00a0China\u2019s 12-step peace plan<\/a>\u00a0from last year,<\/strong> though perhaps with a few adjustments taking into account the need for Western and Ukrainian participation.<\/p>\n

In any case, the point is that China\u2019s objective national interests are advanced by positioning itself to play a key role in politically resolving the\u00a0Ukrainian<\/a>\u00a0Conflict<\/a>, even though it\u2019ll closely work in coordination with (and arguably through) Brazil to this end since the West won\u2019t participate in Chinese-hosted talks. Zelensky was therefore lying through his teeth yet again when he smeared China as an implied Russian puppet since it\u2019s fiercely independent and is doing all of this on of its own free will.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nWed, 06\/05\/2024 – 09:25<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/china-has-legitimate-reasons-not-participate-upcoming-swiss-peace-talks<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

China Has Legitimate Reasons Not To Participate In The Upcoming Swiss “Peace Talks” Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, China\u2019s objective national interests are advanced…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1469520,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1469519","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1469519","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1469519"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1469519\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1469520"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1469519"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1469519"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1469519"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}