{"id":1472816,"date":"2024-06-23T03:20:00","date_gmt":"2024-06-23T07:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1472816"},"modified":"2024-06-23T03:20:00","modified_gmt":"2024-06-23T07:20:00","slug":"how-likely-is-it-that-the-us-replaces-zelensky-in-the-first-half-of-next-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/how-likely-is-it-that-the-us-replaces-zelensky-in-the-first-half-of-next-year\/1472816\/","title":{"rendered":"How Likely Is It That The US Replaces Zelensky In The First Half Of Next Year?"},"content":{"rendered":"

How Likely Is It That The US Replaces Zelensky In The First Half Of Next Year?<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybvko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

President Putin\u00a0shared his view<\/a>\u00a0during a press conference in Hanoi that the US will replace Zelensky during the first half of next year after they use him to make unpopular decisions such as further lowering the draft age<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

His prediction coincided with Russia\u2019s foreign intelligence service publishing its\u00a0latest such report<\/a>\u00a0about this scenario, which claimed that Zaluzhny is being seriously considered by the US as his replacement<\/strong> and is also deemed to be more suitable for\u00a0negotiating peace with Moscow<\/a>\u00a0than others.<\/p>\n

It was explained last month how \u201cRussia Hopes To Influence Ukraine\u2019s Possibly Impending US-Backed Regime Change Process<\/a>\u201d after that same service released a related report about this at the time. This strategy continues unfolding as evidenced by President Putin\u00a0declaring<\/a>\u00a0two weeks ago that the Rada Speaker is now the legitimate leader of Ukraine if the Constitution is still being followed. Accordingly, he said that Russia could negotiate with him or someone else if Kiev is interested in peace, but not Zelensky.<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

As regards the conflict\u2019s\u00a0military-strategic dynamics<\/a>, they continue trending in Russia\u2019s favor and\u00a0won\u2019t be changed by minor adjustments<\/a>\u00a0to US policy such as letting Ukraine use its arms to hit any targets across the border that are allegedly planning to cross the frontier.<\/strong><\/p>\n

The only variable that can make a meaningful difference at this point in time is if NATO stages a\u00a0conventional<\/a>\u00a0intervention<\/a>, but that would\u00a0spike the risk of World War III<\/a>\u00a0by miscalculation.<\/p>\n

Returning back to President Putin\u2019s prediction about Zelensky being replaced in the first half of next year, he\u2019s either assuming that no such conventional intervention will occur or that the subsequent escalation would remain manageable instead of spiraling into the apocalypse.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Regarding the first possibility, there\u2019s a chance that this won\u2019t happen since it\u2019s dependent on Russia achieving a military breakthrough across the front lines, which NATO could then exploit to justify directly involving itself in this conflict.<\/p>\n

That might either not happen and thus rule out this scenario, or it\u2019ll unfold and then set that sequence of events into motion, therefore leading to the second possibility of them managing this escalation.<\/p>\n

In that case, Russia might either eschew striking NATO units so long as they don\u2019t cross the Dnieper and pose a credible threat to its new regions, or they\u2019ll engage in controllable tit-for-tat strikes before freezing the conflict. No matter what happens, however, Zelensky\u2019s political future is set in stone. \u00a0<\/p>\n

The first possibility is actually much worse for him since he\u2019ll be pressured like never before to lower the draft age as soon as possible in order to replace all the meat that\u2019ll have to be ground to prevent a Russian breakthrough across the front lines.<\/strong><\/p>\n

It\u2019s impossible to predict the timing with which he\u2019d then be replaced since it depends on when that policy is implemented and whether (and how long) the secret police can control the public\u2019s furious reaction to sending their young adult males to the slaughter.<\/p>\n

If NATO conventionally intervenes in Ukraine but the escalation doesn\u2019t spiral into World War III by miscalculation, which of course\u00a0can\u2019t be taken for granted<\/a>, then the bloc might keep Zelensky in place only until they reach a deal with Russia for\u00a0comprehensively managing<\/a>\u00a0Europe\u2019s \u201cnew normal\u201d. <\/strong>Once that\u2019s achieved, whenever it may be, he\u2019ll then be pushed aside in order to herald the coming of the so-called \u201cnew Ukraine\u201d under these new circumstances and turn the page on this dark period.<\/p>\n

Just like in the first possibility, he\u2019d only remain in power long enough to make unpopular decisions, albeit under totally different circumstances in that case. Nevertheless, the writing is on the wall, and it\u2019s that his political career is drawing to a close either way. Zelensky\u2019s only use right now is to legitimize radical policies in either scenario. He\u2019ll then be cast aside once he\u2019s done what\u2019s needed of him, though it\u2019s unclear when that\u2019ll be since everything depends on whether NATO conventionally intervenes.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nSat, 06\/22\/2024 – 23:20<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/how-likely-it-us-replaces-zelensky-first-half-next-year<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

How Likely Is It That The US Replaces Zelensky In The First Half Of Next Year? Authored by Andrew Korybvko via Substack, President Putin\u00a0shared his…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1472817,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1472816","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1472816","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1472816"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1472816\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1472817"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1472816"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1472816"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1472816"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}