{"id":1475110,"date":"2024-07-03T16:25:00","date_gmt":"2024-07-03T20:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1475110"},"modified":"2024-07-03T16:25:00","modified_gmt":"2024-07-03T20:25:00","slug":"after-being-wrong-for-three-years-marko-kolanovic-is-leaving-jpmorgan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/after-being-wrong-for-three-years-marko-kolanovic-is-leaving-jpmorgan\/1475110\/","title":{"rendered":"After Being Wrong For Three Years, Marko Kolanovic Is Leaving JPMorgan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">After Being Wrong For Three Years, Marko Kolanovic Is Leaving JPMorgan<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>In retrospect, it was the best call of this market cycle.<\/p>\n<p>After he was bullish &#8211; and dead wrong &#8211; all the way down from the Jan 2022 all time high, JPM&#8217;s chief equity strategist Marko Kolanovic capitulated in late September 2022 when, as we reported at the time he turned bearish on the last day of the month. To us, <strong>this was the signal that the worst slump since covid was over and a historic meltup lay ahead.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Kolanovic turned bearish. Bottom <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bXVFOHDoRS\">https:\/\/t.co\/bXVFOHDoRS<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 zerohedge (@zerohedge) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/1575879107912486916?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 30, 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<p>We were right, and literally to the day, <strong>the market bottomed the day Kolanovic flip-flopped.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/kolanovic%20bottom%20tick.jpg?itok=OQbz90Bt\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Actually, in retrospect we may have made another, just as good call: back in Feb 2023 we said that the rally won&#8217;t end until Wilson and Marko turn bullish.<\/p>\n<p>Rally won&#8217;t end until Wilson and Marko turn bullish<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 zerohedge (@zerohedge) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/1623061687237595136?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 7, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<p>That was also correct &#8211; with the S&amp;P hitting a new record high on 32 days so far in 2024, yesterday being the latest one &#8211; but little did we know that instead of admitting defeat and pressing on, as so many of his peers do all the time, the Croatian would instead choose sepuku.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s right: back in February, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-02-02\/morgan-stanley-s-wilson-leaving-global-investment-committee-ls53tqf3\">Bloomberg reported that Mike Wilson <\/a>(shortly before he capitulated and turned bullish) was tapped on the shoulder and stepped down from his role as chair of the bank&#8217;s Global Investment Committee.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/mike%20wilson%20bloomberg.jpg?itok=wpUe8Se_\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>However, the fact that he did eventually &#8211; <em>finally <\/em>&#8211; flip-flop back to bullish meant he at least got to keep his job.<\/p>\n<p>Wall Street&#8217;s Biggest Bear, Mike Wilson, Finally Capitulates <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FNriOk63vX\">https:\/\/t.co\/FNriOk63vX<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 zerohedge (@zerohedge) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/1792706910468145493?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 21, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately for his JPMorgan colleague, it didn&#8217;t quite work out, and as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-07-03\/jpmorgan-s-kolanovic-to-leave-bank-after-two-challenging-years\">Bloomberg reported this morning<\/a>, Marko Kolanovic, technically the chief global market strategist of the world&#8217;s largest commercial bank and co-head of global research, <strong>is leaving the bank, <\/strong>according to an internal memo obtained by Bloomberg News.<\/p>\n<p>Kolanovic, who had been at JPMorgan for 19 years, is \u201c<strong>exploring other opportunities,\u201d <\/strong>the memo stated. His Croat co-worker, Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, will lead market strategy and become chief market strategist, overseeing cross-asset, equity, and macro. Hussein Malik will be the sole head of global research. Stephen Dulake and Nicholas Rosato will co-lead fundamental research, a new team that brings together credit and equity research.<\/p>\n<p>This is how Bloomberg describes Marko&#8217;s recent analytical (lack of) performance:<\/p>\n<p><em>The move follows a disastrous two-year stretch of stock-market calls by Kolanovic. <\/em>He was steadfastly bullish in much of 2022 as the S&amp;P 500 Index sank 19% and strategists across Wall Street lowered their expectations for equities. He then turned bearish just as the market bottomed, missing last year\u2019s 24% surge in the S&amp;P 500 as well as the 14% gain in the first half of this year.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, while Marko was a phenomenal flow and derivatives analyst before he was promoted into the C-suite (in no small part <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2015-09-25\/it-s-marko-kolanovic-s-market-we-just-trade-in-it\">thanks to the publicity we generated <\/a>for him back in the day), unfortunately for him, that&#8217;s when politics intervened with his market analysis, and his work product started to suffer starting in 2018 and deteriorated progressively ever since. It got so bad that JPM&#8217;s own trading desk would <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/jpmorgans-two-top-trading-desks-brutally-troll-bearish-kolanovic-predict-market-meltup\">frequently troll Kolanovic<\/a> with their own repeatedly bullish &#8211; and correct &#8211; calls.<\/p>\n<p>In any case, we wish Marko all the best and some advice: when he launches his own substack, don&#8217;t go the Zoltan route and seek $10,000 in monthly subscription fees. It just won&#8217;t work.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Wed, 07\/03\/2024 &#8211; 12:25<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/after-being-wrong-three-years-marko-kolanovic-leaving-jpmorgan\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/after-being-wrong-three-years-marko-kolanovic-leaving-jpmorgan<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After Being Wrong For Three Years, Marko Kolanovic Is Leaving JPMorgan In retrospect, it was the best call of this market cycle. After he was&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1475111,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1475110","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pbimBl-6bK6","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/kolanovic20bottom20tick-zgkqdH.jpeg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1475110","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1475110"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1475110\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1475111"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1475110"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1475110"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1475110"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}