{"id":1475371,"date":"2024-07-05T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-07-05T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1475371"},"modified":"2024-07-05T07:30:00","modified_gmt":"2024-07-05T11:30:00","slug":"israel-should-think-twice-before-sending-some-of-its-patriots-to-ukraine-via-the-us","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/israel-should-think-twice-before-sending-some-of-its-patriots-to-ukraine-via-the-us\/1475371\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel Should Think Twice Before Sending Some Of Its Patriots To Ukraine Via The US"},"content":{"rendered":"

Israel Should Think Twice Before Sending Some Of Its Patriots To Ukraine Via The US<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Russian Permanent Representative to the UN Vasily Nebenzia\u00a0warned<\/a>\u00a0Israel of \u201ccertain political consequences\u201d should it send some of its Patriots to\u00a0Ukraine<\/a>\u00a0via the US<\/strong> like\u00a0CNN<\/a>\u00a0recently reported is presently being negotiated between them.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

This comes amidst the gradual deterioration in their ties since\u00a0Hamas\u2019 sneak attack<\/a>\u00a0last year in spite of President Putin\u2019s proud lifelong philo-Semitism that can be learned about more\u00a0here<\/a>. The following five pieces document the lead-up to this latest development:<\/p>\n

* 25 January: \u201cRussia Is Worried That Israeli Strikes Risk Drawing Syria Deeper Into The West Asian Conflict<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 6 February: \u201cThe New Israeli Ambassador To Russia Is Totally Wrong About Moscow\u2019s Regional Policy<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 7 March: \u201cIsrael\u2019s Partial Compliance With The US\u2019 Anti-Russian Demands Risks Ruining Ties With Moscow<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 19 April: \u201cRussia\u2019s Request For UNSC Sanctions Against Israel Is A Principled Soft Power Move<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 7 June: \u201cWho Might Russia Arm As An Asymmetrical Response To The West Arming Ukraine?<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

To summarize, Israel began misportraying Russia\u2019s balancing act in the latest conflict (the details of which can be read\u00a0here<\/a>) and flirting with the idea of sending early warning systems to Kiev, which prompted Russia to escalate its rhetoric against Israel and flirt with arming its Resistance Axis foes.<\/strong> Thus far, their spat has remained within the realm of mutual perceptions and rhetoric, but Israel\u2019s potential arming of Ukraine with air defense systems could lead to a reciprocal Russian arming of the Resistance Axis.<\/p>\n

The prerogative rests with Israel since it\u2019s easier for it to indirectly arm Ukraine than it is for Russia to indirectly arm the Resistance Axis. Moreover, Netanyahu might calculate that sending defensive weapons there won\u2019t cross Russia\u2019s political red line but might earn him some relief from US pressure, which readers can learn more about\u00a0here<\/a>. It\u2019s unclear whether he\u2019ll go through with what CNN recently reported, but if he does, then Nebenzia hinted that Russia\u2019s initial reaction will be political.<\/p>\n

What he probably meant to signal was that his country might either host more Hamas delegations in the future, but this time to discuss bilateral ties instead of hostage releases like during prior visits since the latest conflict erupted, and\/or order its media to decisively promote anti-Israeli narratives. They\u2019ve been pretty balanced till now, but that could change if the decision is made. Another possibility is to let Syria finally use the S-300s to defend itself despite thus far\u00a0denying it that right<\/a>\u00a0for\u00a0de-escalation purposes<\/a>:<\/p>\n

* 10 October 2023: \u201cRussia Is Unlikely To Let Syria Get Involved In The Latest Israeli-Hamas War<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 22 October 2023: \u201cRussia Isn\u2019t Expected To Stop Israel\u2019s Strikes In Syria<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 27 October 2023: \u201cHere\u2019s Why Russia Didn\u2019t Deter Or Respond To The US\u2019 Latest Bombing Of Syria<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 11 February 2024: \u201cThe Latest Israeli Bombing Of Syria Proves That Russia Won\u2019t Risk A Wider War To Stop Tel Aviv<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 11 April 2024: \u201cRussia\u2019s Syrian-Based Air Defenses Won\u2019t Help Iran If Israel Responds To Its Retaliation<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Russia is unlikely to reverse course on this ultra-sensitive issue right away after having already provoked so much wrath from many of its supporters in the\u00a0Alt-Media Community<\/a>\u00a0by keeping it in place for so long. Nevertheless, it still remains an appropriate reciprocal measure if Israel arms Ukraine, albeit one that it\u2019s expected to hold off for now since there\u2019s no going back once this authorization is given. In that event, bilateral ties wouldn\u2019t recover for years, thus negating all of President Putin\u2019s hard work on this.<\/p>\n

That said, Russia does indeed seem to be losing patience with Israel, and the argument can be made that it has much more to gain by making this long-overdue move and solidifying its strategic ties with the Iranian-led Resistance Axis than it has to lose by clinging to hopes of a regional partnership with Israel.<\/strong> This school of thought was practically non-existent inside Russia\u2019s policymaking communities prior to the latest conflict, but that just goes to show how much everything has changed since then.<\/p>\n

The rise of a pro-Resistance policymaking faction parallels the rise of the pro-BRI one, which readers can learn more about\u00a0here<\/a>, and they\u2019re practically one and the same due to their overlapping worldviews. Their respective rivals are the pro-Israeli and balancing\/pragmatist faction, who are also practically one and the same\u00a0in this regional context<\/a>\u00a0since they want to avert potentially disproportionate regional dependence on Iran by maintaining strategic ties with Israel, even though these are to Iran\u2019s detriment.<\/p>\n

While Russia is recalibrating its Asian strategy as explained\u00a0here<\/a>\u00a0and thus appears to be putting a check on the pro-BRI faction\u2019s hitherto astronomical expansion of influence, the pro-Resistance one could receive a pivotal boost if Israel sends its Patriots to Ukraine via the US.<\/strong> That might be the straw that proverbially breaks policymakers\u2019 backs and gets them to throw their support behind this group\u2019s policy recommendations, which could see Russia authorizing Syria to use the S-300s against Israel as explained.<\/p>\n

To be clear, the pro-Resistance faction mostly exists only in Russia\u2019s publicly financed international media and among their associates (including informal ones), with barely any influence within its think tanks although some there are warming up to their views. The pro-Israeli\/balancing\/pragmatist faction remains predominant and that\u2019s why the current policy has remained in place for so long despite Israel\u2019s repeated provocations that could have led to a policy change long ago if the political will was present. \u00a0<\/p>\n

This state of affairs could decisively change, however, if Israel indirectly arms Ukraine with its Patriots. Netanyahu and those around him might not realize what a game-changer that could be in terms of drastically changing Russia\u2019s regional policy considering the way in which everything is increasingly being perceived by the Kremlin given the evolving context of the\u00a0New Cold War<\/a>.<\/strong> Israel should therefore think twice about this lest it risk catalyzing the worst-case scenario in relations with Russia.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nFri, 07\/05\/2024 – 03:30<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/israel-should-think-twice-sending-some-its-patriots-ukraine-us<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Israel Should Think Twice Before Sending Some Of Its Patriots To Ukraine Via The US Authored by Andrew Korybko via substack, Russian Permanent Representative to…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1475372,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1475371","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1475371","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1475371"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1475371\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1475372"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1475371"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1475371"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1475371"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}