{"id":1477797,"date":"2024-07-16T15:25:00","date_gmt":"2024-07-16T19:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1477797"},"modified":"2024-07-16T15:25:00","modified_gmt":"2024-07-16T19:25:00","slug":"zelenskys-envisaged-path-to-peace-is-a-political-fantasy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/zelenskys-envisaged-path-to-peace-is-a-political-fantasy\/1477797\/","title":{"rendered":"Zelensky&#8217;s Envisaged Path To Peace Is A Political Fantasy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">Zelensky&#8217;s Envisaged Path To Peace Is A Political Fantasy<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/zelenskys-envisaged-path-to-peace\"><em>Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Zelensky shared his\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/sputnikglobe.com\/20240715\/zelensky-expects-russia-to-attend-second-ukraine-conference-in-november-1119382588.html\">envisaged path to peace<\/a>\u00a0on Monday where he revealed that four more rounds of talks on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/ukraines-top-five-challenges-are-unsolvable\">Ukrainian Conflict<\/a>\u00a0are planned for the coming months after the most recent one last month\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-swiss-talks-on-ukraine-werent\">in Switzerland<\/a>.<\/strong> The next one will take place in Qatar and cover energy security, then there\u2019ll be one in Turkiye about free navigation in the Black Sea. After that, a meeting on prisoner exchanges will take place in Canada around September, followed by another Swiss-like event in November.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz%20%2838%29.jpg?itok=uQRZn3_N\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>It&#8217;s during this fifth event that Zelensky said that he hopes Russia can participate, though Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Galuzin already\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/sputnikglobe.com\/20240711\/moscow-not-to-take-part-in-new-summit-on-ukraine---russian-deputy-foreign-minister-1119334623.html\">ruled that out<\/a>\u00a0last week on the grounds that his country won\u2019t attend any meetings where it\u2019s talked down to and pressured to comply with ultimatums.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, Zelensky\u2019s shifting rhetoric and the timing with which he expects everything to unfold are interesting developments in and of themselves, and they\u2019ll now be analyzed to place them into perspective.<\/p>\n<p><strong>His roadmap was shared shortly after Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban\u2019s \u201cpeace mission\u201d,<\/strong> which took him to Ukraine, Russia, China, and the US, and suggests that Zelensky and his most reliable Western partners are seriously concerned about the possibility of a non-Western peace process emerging.<\/p>\n<p>It was explained\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/sputnikglobe.com\/20240711\/moscow-not-to-take-part-in-new-summit-on-ukraine---russian-deputy-foreign-minister-1119334623.html\">here<\/a>\u00a0how this could take the form of more inclusive Chinese-organized but Brazilian-fronted talks ahead of and\/or during the G20 Summit in Rio.<\/p>\n<p>In the event that they\u2019re held, then they could create the diplomatic momentum for coercing Ukraine into compromising on its unrealistic maximalist objective of reconquering its lost territories, not to mention having an international tribunal for alleged Russian \u201cwar criminals\u201d after the conflict ends. That\u2019s because the Sino-Brazilian duopoly could foreseeably marshal most of the Global South to attend their meetings and get them to support their\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.br\/planalto\/en\/latest-news\/2024\/05\/brazil-and-china-present-joint-proposal-for-peace-negotiations-with-the-participation-of-russia-and-ukraine\">joint six-point peace consensus<\/a>\u00a0for freezing the conflict.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Considering China\u2019s interest in presenting itself as a global diplomatic force to be reckoned with, it\u2019s unlikely that it would participate in any of the upcoming four meetings that Zelensky described just like how it declined to attend last month\u2019s one in Switzerland<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Its closest partners in the Global South might follow its lead as well, or if they still take part in the event, then they might refuse to sign any joint statement just like Brazil declined to do during the latest one.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Without China\u2019s participation and absent the support of leading Global South countries, many of whom also didn\u2019t lend their signature to last month\u2019s declaration, everything that Zelensky has planned over the coming months is just a political fantasy for perception management purposes.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>He and those behind him know that they need to at least superficially reach out to the Global South, hence the upcoming meetings in Qatar and Turkiye, and they also know that they can\u2019t continue excluding Russia either.<\/p>\n<p>This explains those two\u2019s roles in this envisaged diplomatic sequence and Zelensky\u2019s publicly stated interest in inviting Russia to the next Swiss-like event in November, though the first part won\u2019t make any difference in changing the Global South\u2019s approach while Galuzin already ruled out the second. <strong>The fact of the matter is that any talks that include ultimatums to Russia and in which China doesn\u2019t participate are doomed to fail so all of this is yet another soft power stunt that won\u2019t amount to anything.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Tue, 07\/16\/2024 &#8211; 11:25<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/zelenskys-envisaged-path-peace-political-fantasy\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/zelenskys-envisaged-path-peace-political-fantasy<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zelensky&#8217;s Envisaged Path To Peace Is A Political Fantasy Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, Zelensky shared his\u00a0envisaged path to peace\u00a0on Monday where he revealed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1477798,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1477797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1477797","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1477797"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1477797\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1477798"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1477797"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1477797"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1477797"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}