{"id":1482559,"date":"2024-08-09T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-08-09T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1482559"},"modified":"2024-08-09T07:30:00","modified_gmt":"2024-08-09T11:30:00","slug":"five-lessons-for-russia-to-learn-from-ukraines-sneak-attack-against-kursk-region","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/five-lessons-for-russia-to-learn-from-ukraines-sneak-attack-against-kursk-region\/1482559\/","title":{"rendered":"Five Lessons For Russia To Learn From Ukraine’s Sneak Attack Against Kursk Region"},"content":{"rendered":"

Five Lessons For Russia To Learn From Ukraine’s Sneak Attack Against Kursk Region<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Ukraine\u2019s\u00a0sneak attack<\/a>\u00a0against Russia\u2019s Kursk Region appears to have successfully penetrated the border<\/strong>\u00a0according to RT\u2019s update<\/a>\u00a0on Wednesday, which followed the\u00a0Defense Ministry\u2019s claim<\/a>\u00a0that the fighting was only taking place on the Ukrainian side of the border.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Even though it appears destined to fail and be seen in hindsight as this generation\u2019s \u201cBattle of the Bulge\u201d like many social commentators have described it as, it still taught Russia five very important lessons that it would do well to consider implementing:<\/p>\n

1. It Might Finally Be Time To Take Out All The Bridges Across The Dnieper<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Russia has hitherto been reluctant to take out bridges across the Dnieper, but it might finally be time to do so in order to prevent Western arms and equipment from reaching its pre-2014 borders in possible preparation of more sneak attacks. Continuing to prioritize political objectives over military ones, such as remaining averse to inconveniencing civilians through the proposed means in order to avoid losing more hearts and minds, has arguably proven to have more drawbacks than benefits.<\/em><\/p>\n

2. Better ISR & Less Groupthink Can Reduce Russia\u2019s Blind Spots \u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

NATO has proven that it has impressive tactical capabilities after successfully disguising its proxy\u2019s sneak attack, but Russia is the bloc\u2019s peer and thus shouldn\u2019t have been fooled. Better intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) could have prevented this, as could the optimization of feedback loops from the front. Per the latter, higher-ups might not have taken reports of a military build-up seriously since they could have deemed it \u201cirrational\u201d, but they should have listened if that was the case.<\/em><\/p>\n

3. Preemptive Resettlement & More Physical Border Defenses Would Have Helped A Lot<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

In hindsight, it might have been wise to preemptively resettle folks who were living in proximity to the border and turn these areas into a security zone with many more physical defenses. Two reasons why this wasn\u2019t done might have been fear of it being spun by its foes as setting up a \u201cbuffer zone\u201d inside of Russia and not wanting to inconvenience the locals. The first should never influence policymakers while the second could be mitigated by proper planning and funding (with possible \u201coligarch\u201d contributions).<\/em><\/p>\n

4. Border Militias Might Not Be A Bad Idea If They\u2019re Supervised By The State<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

The now-rebranded Wagner\u2019s late founder Prigozhin had\u00a0previously proposed<\/a>\u00a0creating a border militia in Belgorod Region, but he ultimately turned out to be the West\u2019s \u201cuseful idiot<\/a>\u201d as explained in the preceding hyperlinked analysis so that might have been a very bad idea at the time had he succeeded. Nevertheless, properly supervised border militias might in fact be a good idea, such as if there were FSB agents embedded within them to ensure these non-state actors\u2019 continued loyalty to the state.<\/em><\/p>\n

5. \u201cActive Defense\u201d Is Better Than \u201cPassive Defense\u201d<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Even in the absence of proper ISR,\u00a0Ukraine\u00a0<\/a>would have still struggled to assemble the forces needed for its sneak attack and then storm across the border had Russia been engaged in a policy of \u201cactive defense\u201d (regular low-level attacks) instead of \u201cpassive defense\u201d (sitting back and waiting for an attack). Going forward, Russia should consider the merits of implementing \u201cactive defense\u201d all along the front, which would keep Ukraine on edge and possibly force it to voluntarily create its own \u201cbuffer zones\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n

The five lessons enumerated above could reshape how policymakers perceive the special operation and therefore improve the way in which it\u2019s being waged<\/strong>, particularly with regards to addressing some of the constructive critiques thereof that were shared in this analysis\u00a0here<\/a>\u00a0from November 2022. Retaining the same mindset risks more sneak attacks.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s only through the pragmatic evolution of policymakers\u2019 viewpoints in response to the past 2.5 years\u2019 events that success can best be achieved.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nFri, 08\/09\/2024 – 03:30<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/five-lessons-russia-learn-ukraines-sneak-attack-against-kursk-region<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Five Lessons For Russia To Learn From Ukraine’s Sneak Attack Against Kursk Region Authored by Andrew Korybko via substack, Ukraine\u2019s\u00a0sneak attack\u00a0against Russia\u2019s Kursk Region appears…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1482560,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1482559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1482559","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1482559"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1482559\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1482560"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1482559"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1482559"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1482559"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}