{"id":1483560,"date":"2024-08-14T12:43:08","date_gmt":"2024-08-14T16:43:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1483560"},"modified":"2024-08-14T12:43:08","modified_gmt":"2024-08-14T16:43:08","slug":"core-consumer-prices-hit-new-record-high-up-for-50th-straight-month","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/core-consumer-prices-hit-new-record-high-up-for-50th-straight-month\/1483560\/","title":{"rendered":"Core Consumer Prices Hit New Record High &#8211; Up For 50th Straight Month"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">Core Consumer Prices Hit New Record High &#8211; Up For 50th Straight Month<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>Following last month&#8217;s &#8216;deflationary&#8217; print (-0.1% MoM), analysts expected headline CPI to rise 0.2% MoM and they were spot on, shifting the <strong>YoY CPI print to 2.9% (from 3.0%) &#8211; the lowest since March 2021&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfmBAA.jpg?itok=jL-SxjiW\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Goods deflation continues to drag overall CPI lower&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-08-14_05-43-28.jpg?itok=a4vGw8Mf\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>For context, <strong>Goods prices are down 1.9% YoY &#8211; the biggest deflationary impulse since 2004.<\/strong> Services prices continue to rise YoY but at the slowest pace since 2022&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm3C0B_0.jpg?itok=Uu5kJoLU\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The 3m and 6m annualized CPI rates continue to trend lower (with Energy a particularly volatile factor)&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/get_attachment_url%20%286%29_1.jpg?itok=qLKcslKt\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Core CPI <\/strong>also rose 0.2% MoM (as expected), and the YoY rate of inflation slowed to 3.2% (from 3.3%) &#8211; <strong>the lowest since April 2021<\/strong>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/image%20%2853%29_4.png?itok=PWfVk-kY\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>While Core CPI is slowing YoY, the Core goods deflation appears to have stalled&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-08-14_05-43-49.jpg?itok=QWX64L4x\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>However, that is the <strong>50th straight month of MoM increases in Core CPI, and a record high&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfmA9F1.jpg?itok=QuxWmNfM\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Under the hood, used car prices fell 2.3% along with airline fares (-1.2%) while Car insurance costs jumped 1.2% and furniture prices rose 0.3%&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/image%20%2853%29_3.png?itok=8IFKjRI-\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Perhaps more worrying is the fact that rent inflation has stopped falling&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>July Shelter inflation up 0.33% MoM and up 5.05% YoY vs 5.16% in June<\/p>\n<p><strong>July Rent Inflation up 0.42% MoM and up 5.09% YoY vs 5.07% in June<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/get_attachment_url%20%287%29_1.jpg?itok=qVHVj30M\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Finally, the so-called SuperCore CPI rose 0.2% MoM (same as the rest), dragging the YoY down to 4.73% (still notably elevated)&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm4653.jpg?itok=R-39j1mb\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Transportation Services jumped notably MoM..<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2024-08-14_05-44-06.jpg?itok=1e-X_IXj\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p>So, is this &#8216;good&#8217; news or bad news?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Finally, money supply growth is reaccelerating&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm5106_0.jpg?itok=lqm43n5y\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Is this the trough for CPI?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>As Bloomberg notes, while the pace of inflation has come down, its still growing, and <strong>consumers in the New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA metro, and the Dallas area still are dealing with inflation in excess of 4% &#8212; the highest among large metro areas<\/strong> in the US.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Will The Fed really cut rates as rent inflation inflects higher for the first time since 2023?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Wed, 08\/14\/2024 &#8211; 08:43<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/personal-finance\/core-consumer-prices-hit-new-record-high-50th-straight-month\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/personal-finance\/core-consumer-prices-hit-new-record-high-50th-straight-month<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Core Consumer Prices Hit New Record High &#8211; Up For 50th Straight Month Following last month&#8217;s &#8216;deflationary&#8217; print (-0.1% MoM), analysts expected headline CPI to&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1483561,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1483560","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1483560","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1483560"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1483560\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1483561"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1483560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1483560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1483560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}