{"id":1489037,"date":"2024-09-10T15:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-09-10T19:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1489037"},"modified":"2024-09-10T15:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-09-10T19:00:00","slug":"47-of-all-voters-think-harris-is-too-progressive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/47-of-all-voters-think-harris-is-too-progressive\/1489037\/","title":{"rendered":"47% Of All Voters Think Harris Is Too Progressive"},"content":{"rendered":"

47% Of All Voters Think Harris Is Too Progressive<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

The latest New York Times \/ Siena College poll is a doozie. It has Trump in the lead. Let\u2019s discuss why.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Image created by X\u2019s Grok based on image description provided by Mish.<\/em><\/p>\n

Trump Slightly Ahead<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The New York Times reports\u00a0Trump and Harris Neck and Neck After Summer Upheaval, Times\/Siena Poll Finds<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The survey finds that Donald J. Trump is retaining his support and that, on the eve of the debate, voters are unsure they know enough about where Kamala Harris stands.<\/p>\n

Support for Harris Stalls<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Nate Cohen comments on the poll in his take\u00a0New Poll Suggests Harris\u2019s Support Has Stalled After a Euphoric August<\/a>. That\u2019s a free link.<\/p>\n

Is Kamala Harris\u2019s surge beginning to ebb?<\/p>\n

That\u2019s the question raised by this morning\u2019s New York Times\/Siena College poll, which finds Donald J. Trump narrowly ahead of her among likely voters nationwide, 48 percent to 47 percent.<\/p>\n

To me, the result is a bit surprising. It\u2019s the first lead for Mr. Trump in a major nonpartisan national survey in about a month. As a result, it\u2019s worth being at least a little cautious about these findings, as there isn\u2019t much confirmation from other polls.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s no way to know whether the Times\/Siena poll is too favorable for Mr. Trump. We never know whether the polls are \u201cright\u201d until the votes are counted.<\/p>\n

But the poll nonetheless finds that he has significant advantages in this election \u2014 and they might just be enough to put him over the top.<\/p>\n

He\u2019s more popular than before<\/strong>. Overall, 46 percent of likely voters say they have a favorable view of the former president. That\u2019s down a tick from our last national poll, when 47 percent had a favorable view, but it still makes him more popular than he was in 2016 or 2020.<\/p>\n

He has an advantage on the issues.\u00a0<\/strong>We asked voters a two-part question. First, what\u2019s the most important issue to your vote? Second, do you think Ms. Harris or Mr. Trump is better on that issue? By that measure, Mr. Trump has a five-point lead on the issue that matters most to voters, whatever that may be for them.<\/p>\n

He occupies the center.\u00a0<\/strong>A near majority of voters say Mr. Trump is \u201cnot too far\u201d to the left or right on the issues, while only around one-third say he\u2019s \u201ctoo far to the right.\u201d Nearly half of voters, in contrast, say Ms. Harris is too far to the left; only 41 percent say she\u2019s \u201cnot too far either way.\u201d<\/p>\n

He\u2019s seen as the change candidate in a nation that wants change.<\/strong>\u00a0While President Biden\u2019s departure from the race lifted the spirits of many Democrats, the national mood still isn\u2019t great. An overwhelming majority of voters still say that the economy is poor and that the nation is heading in the wrong direction. And a clear majority \u2014 61 percent \u2014 of voters say they want the next president to bring a \u201cmajor change\u201d from Mr. Biden, compared with 34 percent who want \u201cminor change\u201d and 3 percent who don\u2019t want change.<\/p>\n

Only 40 percent of likely voters said Ms. Harris represented \u201cchange,\u201d while 55 percent said she represented \u201cmore of the same.\u201d Mr. Trump, in contrast, was seen as representing \u201cchange\u201d by 61 percent of voters, while only 34 percent said he was \u201cmore of the same.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Mistakes of 2019 Could Cost Harris the Election<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Nate Silver comments\u00a0The Mistakes of 2019 Could Cost Harris the Election<\/a><\/p>\n

Ordinarily, I wouldn\u2019t think it\u2019s worth it to write a story based on a single poll. But this one merits an exception.<\/p>\n

The exceptions were:<\/p>\n

NYT\/Siena is our second-highest-rated pollster.<\/p>\n

The poll has a large sample size: 1,695 likely voters.<\/p>\n

The poll is very recent, fully post-Labor Day and having completed its field work on Friday.<\/p>\n

The poll provides trendlines for comparison: the numbers are just a bit worse for Harris than the previous NYT\/Siena national survey in July and considerably worse for her than a series of battleground state polls the Times conducted in early August.<\/p>\n

The NYT\/Siena poll tends to singularly drive the media conversation about the race, given the poll\u2019s well-deserved reputation for accuracy and the Times\u2019s outsized influence in the media.<\/p>\n

This morning\u2019s NYT\/Siena poll contained a pair of questions on whether voters think Harris is too liberal\/progressive and whether Trump is too conservative. The numbers were lopsided in Trump\u2019s favor. Only 32 percent of voters said Trump was too conservative, while 47 said Harris was too liberal. The demographics on this question are about what you might expect. Harris is faring poorly among white voters without college degrees, rural voters, and older voters: the types of voters who are plentiful in Blue Wall states like Pennsylvania.<\/p>\n

Democratic messaging often suffers from the sheer abundance of potential attack lines on Trump, causing voters to tune out. The aforementioned whiny progressive media critics don\u2019t seem to understand that elevating every minor controversy surrounding Trump only reduces the signal-to-noise ratio and makes them look like the boy who constantly cried wolf.<\/p>\n

The last paragraph is interesting. Trump makes the same mistake.<\/p>\n

Trump needs to stick to the inflation, housing, immigration, and education indoctrination. He just can\u2019t do it.<\/p>\n

Harris Will Be More Like California<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Harris is attempting to run a generic campaign, pretending to be middle, yet promising everything to everyone.<\/p>\n

She want to restrict immigration while supporting it. She promises to allow more fracking while attempting to placate the Greens.<\/p>\n

California is a disaster, but everything she espouses translates to \u201cmore California\u201d solutions.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s idea to bring in revenue via tariffs, is economic madness. But Harris can\u2019t easily attack that because she wants more tariffs and a crackdown on China as well.<\/p>\n

Anybody but Biden<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The big surge for Harris was nothing more than a grateful mirage of \u201cAnybody but Biden\u201d.<\/p>\n

The huge initial lead of Trump was the same thing.<\/p>\n

So we had unsustainable surges first in one direction, then the other.<\/p>\n

Trump vs Harris<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Biden is out to pasture. Had Democrats had an open convention It would have neither been Biden nor Harris.<\/p>\n

From here on out, Harris more than Trump needs to prove she has moved toward the center. It will be difficult at best for her to pull that off.<\/p>\n

August 24:\u00a0Vote for Harris if You Want Radical Racial Indoctrination of Your Kids<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

August 16:\u00a0Kamala Harris and Her Free Money, More Inflation Now Proposals (MIN)<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

More Inflation and More Indoctrination<\/strong><\/h2>\n

That\u2019s the winning message for Trump, if he can just stick with it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nTue, 09\/10\/2024 – 11:00<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/political\/47-all-voters-think-harris-too-progressive<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

47% Of All Voters Think Harris Is Too Progressive Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com, The latest New York Times \/ Siena College poll is…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1489038,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1489037","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pbimBl-6fmJ","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/09\/Free-Money-No-Inflation-3Y0HgH.jpeg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1489037","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1489037"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1489037\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1489038"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1489037"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1489037"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1489037"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}