{"id":1493655,"date":"2024-10-03T09:45:00","date_gmt":"2024-10-03T13:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1493655"},"modified":"2024-10-03T09:45:00","modified_gmt":"2024-10-03T13:45:00","slug":"israel-cannot-fight-a-multi-front-war-without-support-from-the-us-military","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/israel-cannot-fight-a-multi-front-war-without-support-from-the-us-military\/1493655\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel Cannot Fight A Multi-Front War Without Support From The US Military"},"content":{"rendered":"

Israel Cannot Fight A Multi-Front War Without Support From The US Military <\/span><\/p>\n

\n

The recent missile barrage striking Israel from Iran showcased a security reality that has startled many people in the west – Israel’s “Iron Dome” defense system is not as effective as they believed.\u00a0 Evidence suggests it was clearly overwhelmed, either by the sheer number of missiles (estimates vary but al least 200 were fired), or by new Iranian hypersonic technology.\u00a0 Either way, this one attack changed the prevailing perspective on Israeli air defense.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

The media and government officials claim the Iranian salvo was “ineffective” and they have so far reported no casualties, but it’s clear from the numerous videos circulating on social media that extensive damage was done from dozens of impacts.\u00a0 It’s unlikely Israel will admit to any successful strikes as this would only be giving valuable intel to Iran, but using geo-location and the existing footage online it won’t take Iran’s military leadership long to figure out what worked and what didn’t.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The escalation from Iran was in response to Israel’s carefully planned assassination campaign against Hezbollah’s military leadership in Lebanon, including Hassan Nasrallah.\u00a0 The attack, using pagers sabotaged with secretly planted explosive charges, then culminated in targeted missile strikes.\u00a0 The event came only two months after Israel assassinated Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh while he was on Iranian soil. \u00a0<\/p>\n

There are two ways to look at Israel’s strategy:\u00a0 It was an attempt to decapitate enemy leadership and send their forces into disarray so that a larger war could be avoided.\u00a0 Or, it was intended to enrage Iran and draw them into a larger war. \u00a0<\/p>\n

If the latter option is the case, then Israel would have to be operating on the assumption that the US will supply military forces to the fight, because Israel will not be able to survive a multi-front war of this scale alone.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

In the past Israel relied on its weapons superiority to dissuade potential attacks from neighbors, but that gap is obviously narrowing as we saw with Iran’s missile strikes this week.\u00a0 Lessons from Ukraine should also be taken into account here – Israeli armor might not have the same battlefield presence it once did if cheap drones are so effective in destroying vastly more expensive tanks. \u00a0<\/p>\n

In 2006, Israel attempted a ground invasion of Lebanon with disastrous results, which is probably why this time they struck Hezbollah leadership first.\u00a0 However, Israel seems intent on fighting the whole of the Middle East at once and this changes the situation dramatically. \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

The ground game, as we have seen in Ukraine, does not favor maneuver warfare due to drones and other modern intel gathering technology.\u00a0 The nations with the greatest manpower have a significant advantage when it comes to attrition warfare and that is likely how this war will be fought.\u00a0 Iran by itself has a considerable manpower edge over Israel.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

If we examine basic population, Iran has a massive advantage with over 88 million people vs Israel’s 9.5 million people, and that’s not counting Lebanon, Syria, the Houthis in Yemen, etc.\u00a0 Iran’s ability to replenish their forces with new recruits through conscription will certainly outmatch Israel’s conscription.\u00a0 Again, we have seen this with Russia’s military in Ukraine.\u00a0<\/p>\n

No technology (except perhaps nuclear weapons) would level the playing field and give Israel the ability to win in a ground war on multiple fronts.\u00a0 This means the Israelis will need an allied effort, and guess which country is the only candidate for the task?<\/p>\n

Joe Biden stated after the Iranian strikes<\/a>:<\/p>\n

\u201cMake no mistake, the United States is fully, fully, fully supportive of Israel…”<\/strong><\/p>\n

Asked how he wanted Israel to respond, Biden said this was a matter in \u201cactive discussion\u201d and that the consequences for Tehran \u201cremain to be seen.\u201d\u00a0 Kamala Harris released her own statement backing Biden’s position:<\/p>\n

\u201cIran is not only a threat to Israel, Iran is also a threat to American personnel in the region, American interests and innocent civilians across the region who suffer at the hands of Iran-based and backed terrorist proxies…We will never hesitate to take whatever action is necessary to defend US forces and interests against Iran and Iran-backed terrorists, and we will continue to work with our allies and partners to disrupt Iran\u2019s aggressive behavior and hold them accountable.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

These statements fall in line with a joint military exercise and war game carried out in recent months called “Juniper Oak”.\u00a0 <\/a>The program was designed to prepare for inevitable war between Israel and the wider Middle East and requires participation by US forces by air, sea and land.<\/p>\n

For those millions of Americans that want to stay out of foreign wars and entanglements, the situation does not look good.\u00a0 For those wondering what the October surprise would be, war with Iran and most of the Middle East could be the shoe-drop that everyone was waiting for.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The situation could very well upend the presidential election in November and change the voter landscape yet again.\u00a0 Even with a Trump win, Biden has plenty of time to embroil the US in a war with Iran before leaving office in 2025.\u00a0 The Harris camp argues that a change of leadership and policy in the mist of a geopolitical crisis would be damaging to US security.\u00a0 In other words, they get America involved in a quagmire in the Middle East and then claim the quagmire requires that they stay in office. \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nThu, 10\/03\/2024 – 05:45<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/israel-cannot-fight-multi-front-war-without-support-us-military<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Israel Cannot Fight A Multi-Front War Without Support From The US Military The recent missile barrage striking Israel from Iran showcased a security reality that…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1493656,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1493655","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1493655","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1493655"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1493655\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1493656"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1493655"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1493655"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1493655"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}