{"id":1496951,"date":"2024-10-18T03:25:00","date_gmt":"2024-10-18T07:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1496951"},"modified":"2024-10-18T03:25:00","modified_gmt":"2024-10-18T07:25:00","slug":"the-us-fears-an-uncontrollable-escalation-sequence-with-russia-much-more-than-with-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/the-us-fears-an-uncontrollable-escalation-sequence-with-russia-much-more-than-with-iran\/1496951\/","title":{"rendered":"The US Fears An Uncontrollable Escalation Sequence With Russia Much More Than With Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"

The US Fears An Uncontrollable Escalation Sequence With Russia Much More Than With Iran<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Politico<\/a>\u00a0cited a senior Senate aid and two sources in the Biden Administration to report on Wednesday that the US is much more afraid of an uncontrollable escalation sequence with Russia than with Iran due to the first\u2019s nuclear capabilities.<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

As proof of this, the US has no qualms about shooting down Iranian missiles launched against Israel but won\u2019t consider shooting down Russian ones launched against Ukraine<\/strong>, which has upset Zelensky and some of his compatriots who thus feel like second-class allies.<\/p>\n

The difference between Russia\/Ukraine and Iran\/Israel in this regard accounts for the US\u2019 different approach towards each pair.<\/p>\n

As was explained last month in this analysis about why \u201cPutin Explicitly Confirmed What Was Already Self-Evident About Russia\u2019s Nuclear Doctrine<\/a>\u201d, the comparatively more pragmatic policymakers who still have the final say in Russia and the US have thus far managed to avoid the uncontrollable escalation sequence that their respective hawkish rivals want. <\/strong><\/p>\n

Here\u2019s how they did it:<\/p>\n

\u201c[The US hawks\u2019] comparatively more pragmatic rivals who still call the shots always signal their escalatory intentions far in advance so that Russia could prepare itself and thus be less likely to \u2018overreact\u2019 in some way that risks World War III. Likewise, Russia continues restraining itself from replicating the US\u2019 \u2018shock-and-awe\u2019 campaign in order to reduce the likelihood of the West \u2018overreacting\u2019 by directly intervening in the conflict to salvage their geopolitical project and thus risking World War III.<\/em><\/p>\n

It can only be speculated whether this interplay is due to each\u2019s permanent military, intelligence, and diplomatic bureaucracies (\u2018deep state\u2019) behaving responsibly on their own considering the enormity of what\u2019s at stake or if it\u2019s the result of a \u2018gentlemen\u2019s agreement\u2019. Whatever the truth may be, the aforesaid model accounts for the unexpected moves or lack thereof from each, which are the US correspondingly telegraphing its escalatory intentions and Russia never seriously escalating in kind.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

There\u2019s no equivalent balance of nuclear power between the US and Iran, with the most that Iran can do is launch saturation strikes against American bases in the region, not existentially threaten it like Russia can.<\/strong><\/p>\n

If Iran\u2019s potential retaliation to Israel\u2019s expected strike harms or kills some of the\u00a0nearly 100-member team operating the US\u2019 THAAD<\/a>\u00a0in the self-professed Jewish State, then the US could either take the hit, retaliate against Iranian-aligned Resistance groups in the region, or strike the Islamic Republic.<\/p>\n

Regardless of whatever might happen, non-nuclear Iran is incapable of existentially threatening the US like nuclear-armed Russia could<\/strong> if the latter retaliated to the interception of its missiles by hitting targets inside of NATO, which could easily catalyze a possibly apocalyptic escalation sequence.<\/p>\n

To be sure, there are indeed some US hawks who want to risk that scenario and the abovementioned comparatively less consequential one in West Asia, but their more pragmatic rivals are still able to stop them for now.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nThu, 10\/17\/2024 – 23:25<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/us-fears-uncontrollable-escalation-sequence-russia-much-more-iran<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The US Fears An Uncontrollable Escalation Sequence With Russia Much More Than With Iran Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, Politico\u00a0cited a senior Senate aid…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1496952,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1496951","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1496951","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1496951"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1496951\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1496952"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1496951"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1496951"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1496951"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}