{"id":1500700,"date":"2024-11-06T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-06T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1500700"},"modified":"2024-11-06T07:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T12:00:00","slug":"polands-military-loan-proposal-to-ukraine-shows-that-warsaw-is-finally-wising-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/polands-military-loan-proposal-to-ukraine-shows-that-warsaw-is-finally-wising-up\/1500700\/","title":{"rendered":"Poland’s Military Loan Proposal To Ukraine Shows That Warsaw Is Finally Wising Up"},"content":{"rendered":"

Poland’s Military Loan Proposal To Ukraine Shows That Warsaw Is Finally Wising Up<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

This is in response to Polish public opinion souring on the proxy war and the ruling liberal-globalist coalition consequently trying to exploit that in an attempt to raise the chances that their candidate replaces the outgoing conservative-nationalist president during next year\u2019s election.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski\u00a0proposed<\/a>\u00a0that Ukraine can order military equipment from his country on credit and then pay it back once the conflict ends in response to Zelensky\u00a0complaining<\/a>\u00a0about Poland supposedly withholding some of its armaments such as the MiG-29 fighter jets. <\/strong>Sikorski also reminded Zelensky that Poland has done more for Ukraine than any other country in reference to President Andrzej Duda\u2019s disclosure over the summer that it\u00a0already gave 3.3% of its GPD<\/a>\u00a0to the cause.<\/p>\n

Another important point that he made is that Poland is a \u201cfrontline country\u201d against Russia and must therefore maintain its minimum national defense needs just in case the conflict spirals out of control. This echoed what Duda\u00a0earlier said<\/a>\u00a0during his trip to South Korea about how:<\/p>\n

\u201cThere is no scenario in which we hand over weapons that we have recently bought for billions of zlotys from the pockets of our taxpayers. These weapons must serve the security and defense of the Republic of Poland.\u201d<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

That possibility had been discussed over the past few weeks amidst reports of North Korean troops fighting Ukraine, the rumors of which (whether true or not) were assessed\u00a0here<\/a>\u00a0as a means for getting South Korea to send some of its enormous shell stockpile to Ukraine at this\u00a0crucial moment<\/a>\u00a0in the conflict.\u00a0Russia continues gaining ground<\/a>, and its potential capture of Pokrovsk could prove to be a turning point for the reasons explained\u00a0here<\/a>. Even US intelligence and military officials\u00a0fear the worst<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Poland\u2019s refusal to give away any more of its military equipment for free, let alone that which it just obtained from South Korea, despite how urgent the situation has recently become isn\u2019t surprising.<\/strong> Not only did it\u00a0already max out<\/a>\u00a0everything that it can donate by this summer without endangering its minimum national defense needs, but it\u2019s also wising up to the fact that it\u2019s been exploited by Ukraine, which reportedly receives strings-attached military aid from everyone else but Poland.<\/p>\n

There are also worsening political ties to consider after relations cooled over the past two months as the Volhynia Genocide dispute once again became a major issue. It\u2019s beyond the scope of this analysis to elaborate on, but interested readers can learn more about it\u00a0here<\/a>,\u00a0here<\/a>, and\u00a0here<\/a>, with the takeaway being that Poland is disgusted that Ukraine refuses to exhume the victims\u2019 remains. Sikorski and Zelensky also\u00a0reportedly had a heated argument<\/a>\u00a0about this during the former\u2019s visit to Kiev in mid-September.<\/p>\n

That same report also claimed that Zelensky accused Poland of withholding military equipment from Ukraine during their argument, thus preceding what he explicitly complained about just last week. At the same time, Sikorski once again expressed support\u00a0for Zelensky\u2019s proposal<\/a>\u00a0that Poland intercept Russian missiles over Ukraine after the\u00a0Helsinki Commission<\/a>\u00a0urged the US to approve this, but he also clarified that Poland won\u2019t do so without support from NATO,\u00a0which is presently lacking<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Considering this caveat and the US\u2019 reluctance to approve direct NATO intervention in this conflict like that proposal requires, it\u2019s likely that nothing will come of it unless hawkish American policymakers decide to \u201cescalate to de-escalate\u201d on more favorable terms out of desperation if the front collapses<\/strong>. Seeing as how there hasn\u2019t been any serious indication of their interest in this thus far at least, it\u2019s possible that Sikorski might be flirting with this doomed proposal to \u201csave face\u201d before Ukraine.<\/p>\n

The return of the Volhynia Genocide dispute to the forefront of their political relations and Poland\u2019s new policy of only transferring military equipment to Ukraine on credit instead of giving it away for free like before has harmed their ties so fantasizing about intercepting Russian missiles could just be a distraction. It\u2019s a cost-free means of trying to manage their worsening ties, both in the political sphere as well as in the realm of public perceptions inside Ukraine, but some in the latter might see through this ruse.<\/p>\n

In any case, what\u2019s most important is that Poland is finally demanding something from Ukraine in return for all that it\u2019s already done for it pro bono, namely the exhumation of the Volhynia Genocide victims\u2019 remains and promises to pay for future arms imports at a later date. This new approach didn\u2019t come about naturally but as a result to Polish society getting fed up with the proxy war as proven by a recent survey from a publicly financed research institution that was analyzed\u00a0here<\/a>. \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

The only reason why Poland is wising up is because of next year\u2019s presidential election that the ruling liberal-globalist coalition wants to win.<\/strong> Outgoing President Duda is a (very imperfect) conservative-nationalist who\u2019s served to check returning Prime Minister Donald Tusk\u2019s ideologically driven domestic agenda. It\u2019s therefore imperative for the ruling coalition to replace him one of their own, which could end up being Sikorski\u00a0as he himself recently hinted<\/a>\u00a0in response to speculation about his candidacy.<\/p>\n

This insight adds a new dimension to him championing Polish national interests in the Volhynia Genocide dispute and proposing a military loan to Ukraine instead of continuing to give everything away for free like before. It seems that he\u2019s courting conservative-nationalist support for his possible candidacy via these means while also flirting with the scenario of intercepting Russian missiles over Ukraine (which is likely a ruse as was earlier written) in order to retain the support of his party\u2019s liberal-globalist base.<\/p>\n

What matters most is that the first two parts of his potential candidacy\u2019s foreign policy platform have respectively worsened ties with Ukraine and its military situation. Remembering that these approaches are the result of Polish society\u2019s changing perceptions towards Ukraine ahead of next year\u2019s presidential election, it can therefore be said that public opinion there is leading to tangible changes in the regional political and military situations, thus showing the power that Poles wield when they come together.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nWed, 11\/06\/2024 – 02:00<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/polands-military-loan-proposal-ukraine-shows-warsaw-finally-wising<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Poland’s Military Loan Proposal To Ukraine Shows That Warsaw Is Finally Wising Up Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, This is in response to Polish…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1500701,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1500700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1500700","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1500700"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1500700\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1500701"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1500700"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1500700"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1500700"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}