{"id":1500811,"date":"2024-11-06T20:25:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-07T01:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1500811"},"modified":"2024-11-06T20:25:00","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T01:25:00","slug":"polymarket-whale-profits-top-48-million-from-trump-victory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/polymarket-whale-profits-top-48-million-from-trump-victory\/1500811\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket Whale Profits Top $48 Million From Trump Victory"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">Polymarket Whale Profits Top $48 Million From Trump Victory<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>The French trader, known as Th\u00e9o, who wagered heavily on Trump winning the Electoral College (and the popular vote) <strong>made almost $50 million from his bets on Polymarket.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/241101-polymath-election-betting.jpg?itok=bzQ5A9TO\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The company said that the anonymous election bettor &#8211; <strong>a French national with\u00a0 \u201cextensive trading experience and a financial services background\u201d<\/strong> &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/10\/24\/business\/dealbook\/polymarket-trump-trader.html\">was the whale behind four accounts &#8211; Fredi9999, Theo4, PrincessCaro, and Michie.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>With the election over &#8211; and in his favor &#8211; the French bettor has catapulted to the top of Polymarket&#8217;s all-time profit leaderboard.<\/p>\n<p>The biggest\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/us-election-drives-crypto-prediction-markets-growth-2024\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/us-election-drives-crypto-prediction-markets-growth-2024\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump-betting account on Polymarket<\/a>, known as \u201cTheo4,\u201d earned more than $22.0 million in profit on his pro-Trump bets.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Combining that with his other accounts means &#8216;Theo&#8217; made around $47.6 Million&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/image%20%2827%29_7.png?itok=9eai9Aqo\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>During October, 10 whale addresses spent a combined $70.6 million worth of USD Coin to place bets on Trump winning the\u00a02024 US election.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/top-polymarket-whale-profits-20-m-trump-victory\">As CoinTelegraph reports, <\/a>considering\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/trump-election-us-crypto-industry\" target=\"null\" title=\"null\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump\u2019s projected victory<\/a>, <strong>the profitable payday may be close for the Polymarket whales, since the \u201cmarket resolves when the Associated Press, Fox and NBC all call the election for the same candidate,\u201d <\/strong>according to Polymarket\u2019s disclaimer.<\/p>\n<h2>Over 50% of Trump \u201cYes\u201d shares are controlled by five whales on Polymarket<\/h2>\n<p>As of Nov. 4, a day ahead of election day, over 50% of Donald Trump\u2019s \u201cYes\u201d votes on Polymarket were controlled by five mysterious whales.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/0193010a-98a8-76d9-951d-465aec63.jpg?itok=IWSUWJvR\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Top Trump-betting accounts. Source: Polymarket<\/em><\/p>\n<p>This could result in a payday exceeding $81 million for the whales, pseudonymous political bettorDomer wrote in an Oct. 31 X\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Domahhhh\/status\/1851819243953963012\">post<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201c<strong>Trump Yes shares are very highly concentrated.<\/strong> 5 fat cat accounts own 50% of the 162 million shares &#8212; including the Le Giga Whale with nearly 1\/3rd by himself. Those 5 will be paid out $81 million if Trump wins.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/0193010c-7656-7fb0-9fed-17f55e3c.jpg?itok=2O94Zyqf\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Trump \u201cYes\u201d shareholders on Polymarket. Source: Domer<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>In contrast, shares for Vice President Kamala Harris were more distributed, with the top five shareholders holding 18% of her \u201cYes\u201d votes.<\/strong> Harris\u2019 largest shareholder ha only 4.4% of her shares, while Trump\u2019s top shareholder controlled 29.1%, Domer added.<\/p>\n<p>At least four of the top six Trump bettors, including accounts \u201czxgngl\u201d and \u201cFredi9999,\u201d may be controlled by one entity with high confidence in a Trump victory, Domer told Cointelegraph:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cMy guess is it is a true believer who is very rich and trying to make a big bet. He is getting more confident as the price goes higher and is in a confirmation bias loop where new information keeps increasing his confidence.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Decentralized prediction markets may offer more accurate predictions than traditional polling systems, as investors are voting with their savings, according to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/elon-musk-polymarket-more-accurate-than-polls-actual-money\">billionaire Elon Musk<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>What does Trump\u2019s victory mean for crypto in the US?<\/h2>\n<p>For the latest analysis of Trump\u2019s election victory and the crypto market reaction, tune in to<a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/podcasts\/rise-n-crypto\"> today\u2019s\u00a0<em>Rise\u2019n\u2019Crypto<\/em>\u00a0podcast from Cointelegraph.<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Wed, 11\/06\/2024 &#8211; 15:25<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/crypto\/polymarket-whale-profits-top-48-million-trump-victory\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/crypto\/polymarket-whale-profits-top-48-million-trump-victory<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Polymarket Whale Profits Top $48 Million From Trump Victory The French trader, known as Th\u00e9o, who wagered heavily on Trump winning the Electoral College (and&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1500812,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1500811","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1500811","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1500811"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1500811\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1500812"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1500811"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1500811"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1500811"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}