{"id":1511252,"date":"2025-01-02T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-01-02T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1511252"},"modified":"2025-01-02T07:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-01-02T12:00:00","slug":"trump-should-terminate-the-bilateral-security-agreement-between-the-us-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/trump-should-terminate-the-bilateral-security-agreement-between-the-us-ukraine\/1511252\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Should Terminate The Bilateral Security Agreement Between The US & Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"

Trump Should Terminate The Bilateral Security Agreement Between The US & Ukraine<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andfrew Korybko via substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

New York Times contributor Rajan Menon\u00a0wrote<\/a>\u00a0in a mid-December op-ed that Trump is unlikely to agree to give Ukraine the security guarantees that Zelensky is demanding in temporary lieu of NATO membership. He\u2019s apparently unaware that Trump will soon inherit the\u00a0bilateral security agreement<\/a>\u00a0that the Biden Administration reached with Ukraine in June. It essentially institutionalizes existing US military aid for Ukraine and obligates it to resume the present scale and scope of such if the conflict reignites.<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Nevertheless, Menon\u2019s factually inaccurate assessment raises the question of whether Trump would terminate that agreement as part of his plan to \u201cPivot (back) to Asia\u201d for more muscularly containing China,<\/strong> which his administration could never do in full if it maintains such commitments to Ukraine. Last June\u2019s document stipulates that \u201cEither Party may terminate this Agreement by providing a written notification through diplomatic channels to the other Party\u201d within six months of planning to abandon it.<\/p>\n

It’s therefore legally feasible, but Trump would predictably get a lot of flak from his \u201cdeep state\u2019s\u201d Russophobic hawks,<\/strong> though he\u2019d then free the US up to \u201cPivot (back) to Asia\u201d without worrying about being dragged back into another proxy war with Russia in Europe. Moreover, by depriving Ukraine of the US security guarantees that it took for granted, he\u2019d make it less likely that Kiev would violate the ceasefire in an attempt to manipulate America and others into fighting Russia on its behalf afterwards.<\/p>\n

Far from reducing the chances for peace, Trump would greatly raise them by withdrawing the US from the so-called \u201ccoalition of the willing\u201d that Ukraine aims to pit against Russia through its machinations. Without American participation, Ukraine would be much less likely to provoke another conflict with Russia <\/strong>since it couldn\u2019t take for granted that its other security guarantee partners (e.g. the\u00a0UK<\/a>,\u00a0Germany<\/a>,\u00a0Poland<\/a>, etc.) would risk war with Russia if NATO\u2019s core member\u00a0isn\u2019t willing to do so anymore<\/a>\u00a0over this.<\/p>\n

Another important point is that\u00a0Trump\u2019s reported plan for NATO<\/a>, whereby he\u2019d pressure them to spend more on defense and assume more responsibilities for their own security, would automatically become a fait accompli in this scenario. He wouldn\u2019t have to bargain with or threaten them since they\u2019d do this on their own out of their self-interests. Knowing that there\u2019d be no chance of the US directly intervening to save Ukraine if the conflict reignites, they\u2019d step up and begin doing what they should have decades ago.<\/p>\n

The years of freeloading off of the US would instantly end<\/strong>, thus enabling Trump to accelerate America\u2019s \u201cPivot (back) to Asia\u201d and redirect the resources that he\u2019d save in Europe to that theater instead. It\u2019s therefore a win-win from the perspective of the US\u2019 grand strategic interests, albeit one that requires tremendous political will. If Trump is serious about implementing his foreign policy agenda, then he should terminate the US\u2019 bilateral security agreement with Ukraine on his first day of office.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nThu, 01\/02\/2025 – 02:00<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/trump-should-terminate-bilateral-security-agreement-between-us-ukraine<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trump Should Terminate The Bilateral Security Agreement Between The US & Ukraine Authored by Andfrew Korybko via substack, New York Times contributor Rajan Menon\u00a0wrote\u00a0in a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1511253,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1511252","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1511252","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1511252"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1511252\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1511253"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1511252"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1511252"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1511252"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}