{"id":1520097,"date":"2025-02-19T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-19T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1520097"},"modified":"2025-02-19T07:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-02-19T12:00:00","slug":"polands-security-chief-shares-some-interesting-insight-about-the-ukrainian-conflicts-endgame","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/polands-security-chief-shares-some-interesting-insight-about-the-ukrainian-conflicts-endgame\/1520097\/","title":{"rendered":"Poland’s Security Chief Shares Some Interesting Insight About The Ukrainian Conflict’s Endgame"},"content":{"rendered":"

Poland’s Security Chief Shares Some Interesting Insight About The Ukrainian Conflict’s Endgame<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

He said that nobody in Europe knows what Trump\u2019s plan actually is, they\u2019re unable to assemble the approximately 100,000 troops that a prolonged peacekeeping mission in Ukraine would require, and Poland still remains reluctant to participate in any such mission even if it\u2019s heavily pressured to do so.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Chief of Poland\u2019s National Security Bureau Dariusz Lukowski gave an interview to\u00a0Radio ZET<\/a>\u00a0on Monday about his country\u2019s position towards the\u00a0Ukrainian Conflict<\/a>. According to him, it shouldn\u2019t send peacekeepers to Ukraine, but this still can\u2019t be ruled out in the future despite Prime Minister Donald Tusk\u00a0once<\/a>\u00a0again<\/a>\u00a0explicitly saying that it won\u2019t do so. That\u2019s because there\u2019d be a lot of pressure on Poland to get involved if others dispatch their peacekeepers there first, but he\u2019s still unsure whether it\u2019ll happen.<\/p>\n

He assessed that Europe as a whole doesn\u2019t have the 100,000 troops ready that\u00a0would be required<\/a>\u00a0for patrolling the over 1,000-kilometer-long frontline for the decade that he expects such a mission to last at minimum. <\/strong>Even if Poland doesn\u2019t participate on the ground, however, he said that it could still \u201csecure the airspace over Ukraine. A form of air policing. Aircraft based in Poland could patrol the airspace of Ukraine.\u201d Such scenarios would\u00a0naturally depend<\/a>\u00a0on the outcome of the\u00a0Russian-US talks<\/a>\u00a0though.<\/p>\n

About that, Lukowski said that new US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth didn\u2019t brief his hosts about the details of Trump\u2019s envisaged peace plan\u00a0during last week\u2019s visit<\/a>\u00a0nor request them to participate in any peacekeeping mission. He added that \u201cWe tried to ask the American side such a question (about their negotiating strategy), because we are interested in what types of instruments they would like to use to convince Putin to adopt such and such a solution and not others, but no specifics were given.\u201d<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Another point that this top security official made was that outgoing President Andrzej Duda \u201ctried to convey in a very clear way how Poland perceives Russian issues, that Russia cannot be trusted\u201d, but he didn\u2019t say whether he thought that Hegseth will listen to what the Polish leader had to say.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Lukowski continued by claiming that Russia could attack Poland at any moment but said that he doesn\u2019t believe that the US would betray Poland even if that happens by abandoning it to face Russia all on its own.<\/p>\n

Even so, he warned that Poland still needs three years \u201cto have the capabilities to effectively resist or deter a potential adversary from attacking our country\u201d, <\/strong>likely in a nod to the \u201cEast Shield<\/a>\u201d part of the \u201cEuropean Defense Line<\/a>\u201d that his country is building along its borders with Kaliningrad and Belarus.\u00a0<\/p>\n

In any case, Lukowski said that his country\u2019s plan is to survive for 2-3 weeks until support can arrive from its allies, which interestingly suggests a much longer delay in NATO aid than most observers expect.<\/p>\n

Perhaps the top takeaway from his interview though was his admission that Poland failed in its plans to produce its own ammo.<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n

In his words, \u201cIt’s bad. In many areas we don’t have independence. This is a classic situation that we observe in Ukraine and a lesson that needs to be learned. If we do not have our own potential, guaranteed supplies, others will decide on the pace and manner of conducting war.\u201d\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

He then said that he doesn\u2019t understand why this problem persists and warned about its consequences.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Lukowski\u2019s interview confirmed Poland\u2019s hesitation to directly involve itself in the Ukrainian Conflict exactly as Deputy Prime Minister Krzysztof Gawkowski signaled last November when\u00a0warning<\/a>\u00a0that Zelensky wants to provoke a war between them and Russia.\u00a0<\/p>\n

It\u2019s also out of the loop when it comes to the ongoing Russian-US peace talks despite Hegseth describing Poland as America\u2019s \u201cmodel ally\u201d during last week\u2019s visit.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Poland therefore isn\u2019t expected to make any dramatic or rash moves for the time being.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nWed, 02\/19\/2025 – 02:00<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/polands-security-chief-shares-some-interesting-insight-about-ukrainian-conflicts<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Poland’s Security Chief Shares Some Interesting Insight About The Ukrainian Conflict’s Endgame Authored by Andrew Korybko via substack, He said that nobody in Europe knows…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1520098,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1520097","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1520097","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1520097"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1520097\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1520098"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1520097"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1520097"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1520097"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}