{"id":1531542,"date":"2025-04-21T14:15:49","date_gmt":"2025-04-21T18:15:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1531542"},"modified":"2025-04-21T14:15:49","modified_gmt":"2025-04-21T18:15:49","slug":"sentiment-stock-prices-spark-biggest-plunge-in-us-leading-economic-indicators-in-17-months","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/sentiment-stock-prices-spark-biggest-plunge-in-us-leading-economic-indicators-in-17-months\/1531542\/","title":{"rendered":"Sentiment & Stock Prices Spark Biggest Plunge In US Leading Economic Indicators In 17 Months"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sentiment & Stock Prices Spark Biggest Plunge In US Leading Economic Indicators In 17 Months<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Since December’s Trump-optimism-driven surge<\/a> in Leading Economic Indicators (the first since last February), The Conference Board’s headline index has decelerated rapidly with March data released today plunging 0.7% MoM – the biggest drop since October 2023…<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Consumer Sentiment and Stock Prices were the biggest negative contributors<\/strong>, while Building Permits and Jobless Claims were the biggest positive contributors…<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

That dragged the total index level down to its lowest since October 2016…<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cThe US LEI for March pointed to slowing economic activity ahead,\u201d said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board.<\/p>\n

“That said, the data does not suggest that a recession has begun or is about to start.<\/strong>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Still, the Conference Board downwardly revised our US GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 1.6%, which is somewhat below the economy\u2019s potential.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

The slower projected growth rate reflects the impact of deepening trade wars, which may result in higher inflation, supply chain disruptions, less investing and spending, and a weaker labor market.”<\/em><\/p>\n

The LEI\u2019s six-month growth rate ticked down in March, but remained well above the recession threshold<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

So the economy is doomed (ish) because stocks and sentiment are down… because investors are pricing in a doomed economy…?<\/p>\n

Perhaps the word ‘leading’ in this index is misleading…<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nMon, 04\/21\/2025 – 10:15<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/economics\/sentiment-stock-prices-spark-biggest-plunge-us-leading-economic-indicators-17-months<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sentiment & Stock Prices Spark Biggest Plunge In US Leading Economic Indicators In 17 Months Since December’s Trump-optimism-driven surge in Leading Economic Indicators (the first…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1531543,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1531542","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1531542","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1531542"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1531542\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1531543"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1531542"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1531542"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1531542"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}