{"id":1532977,"date":"2025-04-29T00:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-29T04:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1532977"},"modified":"2025-04-29T00:30:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-29T04:30:00","slug":"canadian-election-poilievre-odds-fall-after-early-gains-despite-larger-than-expected-conservative-turnout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/canadian-election-poilievre-odds-fall-after-early-gains-despite-larger-than-expected-conservative-turnout\/1532977\/","title":{"rendered":"Canadian Election: Poilievre Odds Fall After Early Gains Despite &#8216;Larger Than Expected&#8217; Conservative Turnout"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">Canadian Election: Poilievre Odds Fall After Early Gains Despite &#8216;Larger Than Expected&#8217; Conservative Turnout<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p><em><strong>Update (2127ET): <\/strong><\/em>After some momentary excitement based on a reported &#8216;larger than expected&#8217; turnout at Canadian polls, betting market odds for conservative candidate<strong> Pierre Poilievre have fallen back to the low 20% range.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/res_0.JPG?itok=lGiQphmw\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Stay tuned for more&#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>*\u00a0 *\u00a0 *<\/p>\n<p>With Canada&#8217;s Atlantic polls now having closed in what will be a deeply consequential election, <strong>odds for conservative candidate Pierre Poilievre have begun spiking <\/strong>after conservative turnout was reportedly &#8220;larger than expected,&#8221; according to betting market <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Kalshi\/status\/1917004042376536207\">Kalshi<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/GppLHj_XcAAKSBr.jpg?itok=E_VC3o1s\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Earlier, <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/next-prime-minster-of-canada\/will-mark-carney-be-the-next-canadian-prime-minister\"><em>Polymarket<\/em><\/a> odds were as high as<strong> 48% for Poilievre &#8211; <\/strong>dropping to a 30% chance as of this writing &#8211; but nevertheless in sharp contrast to the 20% odds he&#8217;s been hovering around all week.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/483.JPG?itok=7qn87nxV\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Only to reverse lower (as seen on this 6h chart)&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/5.JPG?itok=YyVPs0XK\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>You can track the odds in realtime below:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;re guessing Carney takes it, but there was still money to be made for those who partake&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Poilievre may be worth a punt at 20% <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9DD6mPQWvF\">pic.twitter.com\/9DD6mPQWvF<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 zerohedge (@zerohedge) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/1915887086919418236?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 25, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Stay tuned for updates&#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Mon, 04\/28\/2025 &#8211; 20:30<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/political\/canadian-election-poilievre-odds-explode-higher-conservative-turnout-larger-expected\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/political\/canadian-election-poilievre-odds-explode-higher-conservative-turnout-larger-expected<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Canadian Election: Poilievre Odds Fall After Early Gains Despite &#8216;Larger Than Expected&#8217; Conservative Turnout Update (2127ET): After some momentary excitement based on a reported &#8216;larger&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1532978,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1532977","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pbimBl-6qNr","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/04\/res_0-GiJOOS.jpeg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1532977","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1532977"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1532977\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1532978"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1532977"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1532977"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1532977"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}