{"id":1539348,"date":"2025-06-02T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-02T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1539348"},"modified":"2025-06-02T07:30:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-02T11:30:00","slug":"will-russias-military-build-up-along-the-finnish-border-likely-be-the-new-normal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/will-russias-military-build-up-along-the-finnish-border-likely-be-the-new-normal\/1539348\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Russia&#8217;s Military Build-Up Along The Finnish Border Likely Be The New Normal?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">Will Russia&#8217;s Military Build-Up Along The Finnish Border Likely Be The New Normal?<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/russias-military-build-up-along-the\"><em>Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>This is a predictable response to Finland\u2019s unnecessary and highly provocative decision to join NATO&#8230;<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz%20-%202025-06-01T152318.141.jpg?itok=YrlJlNMk\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The New York Times (NYT) recently published an article about how \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/EESgq\">Russia Beefs Up Bases Near Finland\u2019s Border<\/a>\u201d, which relied on satellite imagery to reach that conclusion. Russia\u2019s northern military build-up is portrayed as ominous in their piece, with speculation abounding about its post-Ukraine plans among those who they interviewed. To their credit, the NYT\u2019s authors did reference Russia\u2019s perceptions about NATO expansion, but they didn\u2019t take them to their logical conclusion with regard to Finland.<\/p>\n<p><strong>No mention is made about how unnecessary its decision to join NATO was.<\/strong> Prior to that, Finland was already a so-called \u201cshadow member\u201d of NATO in the sense of having closely integrated with the bloc and practically obtained interoperability with its forces after years of joint training. Nevertheless, it didn\u2019t have Article 5 mutual defense guarantees, but they objectively weren\u2019t needed since there was never any credible scenario where Russia would launch an unprovoked attack or all-out invasion of Finland.<\/p>\n<p>Shortly after the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/korybko-to-azerbaijani-media-all\">special<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/20-constructive-critiques-about-russias\">operation<\/a>\u00a0began over three years ago, Finland\u2019s liberal-globalist elite fearmongered that their country might be next after Ukraine, which was the false pretext upon which they reversed their decades-long stance towards formal NATO membership. Far from joining out of sincere concerns for their security, they did so solely to expand NATO\u2019s border with Russia, which could then be presented as a symbolic Western victory no matter the outcome of this\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/heres-what-i-learned-from-analyzing-the-new-cold-war-every-day-for-three-years-straight\">ongoing proxy war<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Here are three background briefings about this to bring unaware readers up to speed:<\/p>\n<p>* 8 February 2024: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/finland-is-opening-up-natos-arctic\">Finland Is Opening Up NATO\u2019s Arctic Containment Front Against Russia<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n<p>* 25 May 2024: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/a-new-iron-curtain-is-being-built\">A New Iron Curtain Is Being Built From The Arctic To Central Europe<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n<p>* 1 October 2024: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/dont-forget-about-how-natos-northeastern\">Don\u2019t Forget About How NATO\u2019s Northeastern Flank Can Stir Up A Lot Of Trouble For Russia<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n<p>They\u2019ll now be summarized and placed in the larger geostrategic context of the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/towards-tri-multipolarity-the-golden\">New Cold War<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>In short, Finland\u2019s NATO membership enables the bloc to divert a portion of Russia\u2019s forces from other fronts like the Ukrainian one while also expanding the West\u2019s capabilities to project force into Russia, thus making it a highly strategic but also extremely dangerous move.<\/strong> The new Iron Curtain that\u2019s descending upon the region upon linking together Finland\u2019s newly strengthened border defenses,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-european-parliament-confirmed\">the \u201cBaltic Defence Line\u201d, and Poland\u2019s \u201cEast Shield\u201d<\/a>\u00a0will guarantee that post-Ukrainian tensions persist.<\/p>\n<p>Even in the scenario of the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/heres-what-comes-next-after-putin\">nascent<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/why-might-russia-repair-its-ties\">Russian<\/a>&#8211;<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/vances-munich-speech-vindicated-putins\">US<\/a>\u00a0\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/russia-and-the-us-diplomatic-choreography\">New<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/korybko-to-newsweek-a-russian-us\">D\u00e9tente<\/a>\u201d evolving into a full-fledged strategic partnership built upon resource cooperation like\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/fact-check-potential-russian-us-cooperation\">joint Arctic projects<\/a>\u00a0of the sort that Moscow has proposed, NATO\u2019s European members could still unilaterally threaten Russia via these means. In other words, the same strategy that the prior US administration sought to employ against Russia could be used by its nominal allies to provoke a crisis for complicating the new one\u2019s ties with Russia, which is ironic.<\/p>\n<p>That said, the likelihood of this being attempted \u2013 let alone succeeding \u2013 would be\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/tass.com\/world\/1961093\">greatly reduced<\/a>\u00a0if the aforesaid \u201cNew D\u00e9tente\u201d enters into force since the US might simply refuse to extend Article 5 mutual defense guarantees to any of its \u201crogue allies\u201d that stir up trouble along this front, thus deterring them. <strong>That said, the possibility always remains that a future US administration isn\u2019t so friendly towards Russia or \u201cdecouples\u201d from it on whatever pretext, so Russia can\u2019t ever let its guard down from here on out.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Mon, 06\/02\/2025 &#8211; 03:30<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/will-russias-military-build-along-finnish-border-likely-be-new-normal\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/will-russias-military-build-along-finnish-border-likely-be-new-normal<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Will Russia&#8217;s Military Build-Up Along The Finnish Border Likely Be The New Normal? Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, This is a predictable response to&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1539349,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1539348","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1539348","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1539348"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1539348\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1539349"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1539348"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1539348"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1539348"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}