{"id":1543664,"date":"2025-06-25T16:20:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-25T20:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1543664"},"modified":"2025-06-25T16:20:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T20:20:00","slug":"korybko-five-reasons-why-iran-israel-agreed-to-a-ceasefire","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/korybko-five-reasons-why-iran-israel-agreed-to-a-ceasefire\/1543664\/","title":{"rendered":"Korybko: Five Reasons Why Iran & Israel Agreed To A Ceasefire"},"content":{"rendered":"

Korybko: Five Reasons Why Iran & Israel Agreed To A Ceasefire<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Nobody saw it coming…<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Iran and Israel surprised the world by\u00a0agreeing to a ceasefire<\/a>\u00a0precisely at the point when most observers expected their war to spiral out of control.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s decision to\u00a0bomb several nuclear sites<\/a>\u00a0in Iran and his subsequent flirtation with regime change there convinced them that he was about to escalate American involvement in the conflict regardless of whether Iran retaliated against regional US bases or Israel carried out a false flag provocation to justify this.<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s why they all agreed to a ceasefire instead:<\/p>\n

1. Iran & Israel Inflicted Unacceptable Damage To One Another<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

The Mainstream Media hitherto claimed that Israel inflicted tremendous damage to Iran while the\u00a0Alt-Media Community<\/a>\u00a0hitherto claimed that Iran inflicted tremendous damage to Israel, and for once, both of them were right even though they dishonestly denied each other\u2019s claims. The reality is that Iran and Israel inflicted unacceptable damage to one another after less than two weeks of strikes. Neither was therefore able to last much longer, thus inevitably leading either to a serious escalation or a ceasefire.<\/em><\/p>\n

2. The Trump Administration Didn\u2019t Want Another Major Regional War<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

The escalation scenario was averted solely because the Trump Administration didn\u2019t want another major regional war in West Asia, which could have accelerated the US\u2019 hegemonic decline as well as prevented it from \u201cPivoting (back) to (East) Asia\u201d for more muscularly containing China. It therefore likely told Israel that it wouldn\u2019t have its back in that event while threatening Iran with outsized (nuclear?) retaliation if its nearby bases were attacked, thus deterring escalation from both and making a ceasefire possible.<\/em><\/p>\n

3. Trump Unexpectedly Defied The Israel Lobby & Neoconservatives<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Many observers concluded that Trump\u2019s decision to bomb Iran signaled his complete capitulation to the Israel lobby and neoconservatives, but they couldn\u2019t have been more wrong. Far from surrendering to their demands for another \u201cshock and awe\u201d regime change war, which could have involved boots on the ground and even nukes, he was somehow able to get Israel to stop bombing Iran, likely by threatening to hang it out to dry if the conflict escalated. Iran then followed suit and the ceasefire entered into effect.<\/em><\/p>\n

4. The US Spun Its Bombing Of Iran As A Strategic Success<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Opinion is mixed about whether the US\u2019 bombing of several nuclear sites achieved its goal of destroying Iran\u2019s nuclear program or at least pushing it back for many years, which could knock Iran out of the geopolitical game, but the US was still able to spin it as a strategic success. This gave Trump a \u201cface-saving\u201d exit ramp for de-escalating the conflict by speculatively pressuring Israel to stop its bombing campaign and then getting Iran to go along with it to avoid the major regional war that he feared.<\/em><\/p>\n

5. Trump Is Totally Obsessed With Receiving The Nobel Peace Prize<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

And finally, Trump\u2019s ego probably played a significant role in his decision to coerce Iran and Israel (each in different ways) into agreeing to a ceasefire since he\u2019s\u00a0totally obsessed<\/a>\u00a0with receiving the Nobel Peace Prize, which he hopes that he\u2019ll be awarded as a result. Even though he played a role in sparking the conflict by letting Israel bomb Iran on day 61 of his 60-day deadline for another nuclear deal, all that could be conveniently forgotten by the committee if the ceasefire holds and leads to a lasting peace.<\/em><\/p>\n

The ceasefire might not hold, however, in which case the US might not fully support Israel\u2019s resumed bombing campaign if West Jerusalem is to blame.<\/p>\n

The US might also pursue regime change in Iran via indirect means even if the ceasefire holds.<\/p>\n

In the best-case scenario, the ceasefire might lead to a lasting peace through\u00a0another<\/a>\u00a0nuclear deal, which would necessitate Russia\u2019s involvement (such as removing excess nuclear fuel from Iran).<\/p>\n

Putin would therefore deserve the Nobel Peace Prize too if that happens.<\/p>\n

*\u00a0 *\u00a0 *<\/p>\n

Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of ZeroHedge.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nWed, 06\/25\/2025 – 12:20<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/five-reasons-why-iran-israel-agreed-ceasefire<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Korybko: Five Reasons Why Iran & Israel Agreed To A Ceasefire Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, Nobody saw it coming… Iran and Israel surprised…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1543665,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1543664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pbimBl-6tzO","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/06\/httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz20286429_2-bgxkR4.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1543664","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1543664"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1543664\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1543665"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1543664"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1543664"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1543664"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}