{"id":1544041,"date":"2025-06-27T12:47:03","date_gmt":"2025-06-27T16:47:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1544041"},"modified":"2025-06-27T12:47:03","modified_gmt":"2025-06-27T16:47:03","slug":"doge-sparks-biggest-plunge-in-social-security-handouts-ever-feds-favorite-inflation-indicator-ticked-higher-in-may","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/doge-sparks-biggest-plunge-in-social-security-handouts-ever-feds-favorite-inflation-indicator-ticked-higher-in-may\/1544041\/","title":{"rendered":"DOGE Sparks Biggest Plunge In Social Security Handouts Ever; Fed&#8217;s Favorite Inflation Indicator Ticked Higher In May"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">DOGE Sparks Biggest Plunge In Social Security Handouts Ever; Fed&#8217;s Favorite Inflation Indicator Ticked Higher In May<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>The Fed&#8217;s favorite inflation indicator &#8211; Core PCE &#8211; came in hotter than expected in May, rising 0.2% MoM (+0.1% MoM exp) and +2.7% YoY (+2.6% YoY exp)&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm3790.jpg?itok=mtlyvgEx\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p>Not exactly the hyped-up inflationary surge the tariff fearmongers had hoped for as <strong>non-durable goods price show modest increase MoM<\/strong>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/get_attachment_url%20%2846%29_0.jpg?itok=s2towCbS\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p>Headline PCE rose 0.1% MoM (as expected) and the YoY change ticked up to +2.3% YoY&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfmC8B0.jpg?itok=vAE_V6pA\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p><strong>Non-durable goods flipped from deflationary to inflationary (modestly)<\/strong> in May&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/get_attachment_url%20%2847%29_0.jpg?itok=Ylq_rojA\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p>SuperCore PCE inched higher on a YoY basis (from +3.07% to +3.12% YoY)&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfmE27E_0.jpg?itok=xOfRwxQ2\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p><strong>Both personal income and spending tumbled in May (the former by the most since Sept 2021)<\/strong>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfmE66B_0.jpg?itok=1xkF2gaz\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p>On the income side, govt workers saw wage growth slow:<\/p>\n<p>Private worker wages rose 4.6% yoy, up from 4.4% and the highest since Dec 24<\/p>\n<p><strong>Govt worker wages rose 5.2%, down from 5.3% and lowest since Oct 22<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/get_attachment_url%20%2849%29_0.jpg?itok=10wWhp_4\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>But, Income&#8217;s drop was mainly due to a plunge in government handouts&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm3D0F_1.jpg?itok=yHKPDcDI\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p><strong>With the biggest drop in social security benefit handouts ever as DOGE killed all the payments to those &#8216;dead&#8217; or extremely old people&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfmA9F.jpg?itok=YMxoLLI1\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p>The<strong> savings rate dropped significantly<\/strong> to 4.5% of DPI&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/get_attachment_url%20%2848%29_0.jpg?itok=ji2LQPsb\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p>Is there enough here to nudge The Fed towards a cut? Or do we keep waiting for the &#8216;lagged&#8217; effect of tariffs to finally show up in prices?<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>This is the &#8216;transitory&#8217; no inflationary impact period!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Fri, 06\/27\/2025 &#8211; 08:47<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/feds-favorite-inflation-indicator-ticked-higher-may-social-security-handouts-plunged\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/feds-favorite-inflation-indicator-ticked-higher-may-social-security-handouts-plunged<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DOGE Sparks Biggest Plunge In Social Security Handouts Ever; Fed&#8217;s Favorite Inflation Indicator Ticked Higher In May The Fed&#8217;s favorite inflation indicator &#8211; Core PCE&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1544042,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1544041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1544041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1544041"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1544041\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1544042"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1544041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1544041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1544041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}