{"id":1545274,"date":"2025-07-04T11:20:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-04T15:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1545274"},"modified":"2025-07-04T11:20:00","modified_gmt":"2025-07-04T15:20:00","slug":"lots-of-speculation-is-swirling-around-the-sumy-front","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/lots-of-speculation-is-swirling-around-the-sumy-front\/1545274\/","title":{"rendered":"Lots Of Speculation Is Swirling Around The Sumy Front"},"content":{"rendered":"

Lots Of Speculation Is Swirling Around The Sumy Front<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Ukraine claims that Russia is gearing up for a large-scale offensive there, a Russian security source denied any such plans, while the US is closely monitoring the situation…<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Trump\u00a0told<\/a>\u00a0the media earlier in the week that \u201cWe’ll see what happens. I’m watching it very closely\u201d when asked about reports that Russia is gearing up for a large-scale offensive in Ukraine\u2019s Sumy Region<\/strong>. This follows the\u00a0Wall Street Journal<\/a>\u2019s (WSJ) report alleging that Russia has assembled 50,000 troops in preparation for that. A Russian security source denied such plans in comments to\u00a0TASS<\/a>, however, and instead described the aforesaid claims as part of a GUR disinfo campaign to fearmonger about Russia.<\/p>\n

They also put forth the hypothesis that GUR wants to discredit the Defense Ministry in general and Commander-in-Chief Alexander Syrsky in particular while also claiming that Ukraine also does indeed have quite a few border fortifications there unlike what the WSJ wrote. Whatever the truth may be, what\u2019s known for sure is that Sumy Region falls within the \u201cbuffer zone\u201d that Putin spoke about carving out in late May, the strategy of which was analyzed\u00a0here<\/a>\u00a0at the time.<\/p>\n

The larger context concerns the realization that \u201cThe Russian-Ukrainian Talks Are At An Impasse That Only The US Or Brute Force Can Break<\/a>\u201d. Absent any serious efforts by Trump to\u00a0coerce Zelensky into the concessions<\/a>\u00a0that Putin demands for peace, Russia might thus continue resorting to brute force to ensure its security interests, especially given the window of opportunity that reportedly just opened up.<\/strong> This is connected to\u00a0Politico\u2019s recent report<\/a>\u00a0about the Pentagon halting some promised munitions to Ukraine.<\/p>\n

According to their sources, this includes \u201cmissiles for Patriot air defense systems, precision artillery rounds, Hellfire and other missiles that Ukraine launches from its F-16 fighters and drones.\u201d The decision was reportedly made in early June, so shortly before Israel launched its\u00a0sneak attack<\/a>\u00a0against Iran on day 61 of Trump\u2019s 60-day deadline for agreeing to a new nuclear deal. The timing consequently suggests that this aid that was promised to Ukraine during the Biden era might have instead been redirected to Israel.<\/p>\n

This makes sense seeing as how Trump knew about Bibi\u2019s plans ahead of time and would have likely ordered the Pentagon to prepare for the possibility of a large-scale conflict erupting in the aftermath. The US\u2019 stockpiles were already running low even before the 12-day war that followed<\/strong>, in which the US\u00a0directly participated<\/a>\u00a0by bombing three Iranian nuclear facilities, so it was inevitable in hindsight that the US\u2019 prioritization of Israel\u2019s security needs would come at Ukraine\u2019s expense.<\/p>\n

All of this sets the stage for the large-scale offensive that Ukraine claims that Russia is gearing up for, Russia denies, and the US is closely monitoring just in case. <\/strong><\/p>\n

On the one hand, Russia could try to take advantage of the reduction in US military aid to Ukraine to push its buffer zone deeper into Sumy Region.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, it might not be the walk in the park that the WSJ claimed, and Trump could overreact to any major Russian gains by \u201cescalating to de-escalate\u201d at the risk of ruining the\u00a0fragile peace process<\/a>.<\/p>\n

From his view, the optics of Russia gaining lots of ground right at the moment when the US curtailed crucial military aid to Ukraine could lend false credence to conspiracy theories about collusion between him and Putin, while his legacy would be tarnished if the US then \u201closes Ukraine\u201d as a result. <\/strong>These perceptions raise the chance that he\u2019d overreact to that scenario. Therefore, Putin might not approve of such military plans to avoid jeopardizing talks with Trump, if he even had those plans to begin with.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nFri, 07\/04\/2025 – 07:20<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/lots-speculation-swirling-around-sumy-front<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Lots Of Speculation Is Swirling Around The Sumy Front Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, Ukraine claims that Russia is gearing up for a large-scale…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1545275,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1545274","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1545274","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1545274"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1545274\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1545275"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1545274"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1545274"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1545274"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}