{"id":1545601,"date":"2025-07-07T03:55:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-07T07:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1545601"},"modified":"2025-07-07T03:55:00","modified_gmt":"2025-07-07T07:55:00","slug":"analyzing-xis-absence-from-the-latest-brics-summit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/analyzing-xis-absence-from-the-latest-brics-summit\/1545601\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyzing Xi&#8217;s Absence From The Latest BRICS Summit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">Analyzing Xi&#8217;s Absence From The Latest BRICS Summit<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/analyzing-xis-absence-from-the-latest\"><em>Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Chinese President Xi Jinping declined to travel to Rio for the latest\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/did-the-latest-brics-summit-achieve-anything-of-tangible-significance-at-all\">BRICS<\/a>\u00a0Summit on the reported pretext of scheduling conflicts and having already met with his Brazilian counterpart Luiz Ignacia Lula da Silva twice this year.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/TlbO6\">South China Morning Post<\/a>\u00a0speculated that the real reason was that Xi didn\u2019t want to be \u201cperceived as a supporting actor\u201d there given the state dinner that Lula will hold for Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, however, who\u2019ll be the first Indian premier to visit Brazil\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/india\/pm-modi-kicks-off-5-nation-tour-ghana-argentina-brazil-and-more-on-itinerary-brics-trade-in-focus\/articleshow\/122195015.cms#:~:text=His%20visit%20to%20Bras%C3%ADlia-%20the%20first%20by%20an%20Indian%20Prime%20Minister%20in%20nearly%20six%20decades-%20will%20include%20talks%20with%20President%20Luiz%20In%C3%A1cio%20Lula%20da%20Silva%20on%20shared%20Global%20South%20priorities.\">in nearly six decades<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz%20%2893%29_2.jpg?itok=D5JbVTgg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Despite the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-us-was-inadvertently-responsible\">border de-escalation deal<\/a>\u00a0that Xi and Modi agreed to during the last BRICS Summit, China and India still remain rivals, which recently manifested itself through\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/L3VBB\">reported Chinese support<\/a>\u00a0to Pakistan during the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/who-won-the-latest-indo-pak-conflict\">latest Indo-Pak Conflict<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/why-couldnt-the-sco-defense-ministers-agree-on-a-joint-statement\">India\u2019s perception<\/a>\u00a0that China is using the SCO against it. <strong>Accordingly, with Modi indisputably being the top VIP at the group\u2019s latest annual gathering, it might therefore indeed be the case that Xi felt uncomfortable and thus declined to travel there to attend.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This hypothesis directly leads to the question of why Lula agreed to make Modi\u2019s visit an official state one with an associated dinner despite him traveling there to attend a multilateral event. While it could just be for reasons of protocol considering the historical significance of his visit, Lula might have also calculated that it could expand Brazil\u2019s balancing act from its hitherto mostly\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-de-dollarization-of-brazilian\">binary Sino-US nature<\/a>\u00a0into a more complex one through the inclusion of India. That could in turn alleviate some pressure from Trump.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Lula, whose evolution into a liberal-globalist during his third term (as documented in the several dozen analyses enumerated at the end of this one\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/its-alexandre-de-moraes-not-elon\">here<\/a>) led to him closely aligning with Biden,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/606917-lula-harris-trump-brazil\/\">endorsed Kamala<\/a>\u00a0right before the last US presidential election and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/620565-trump-us-lula-brazil\/\">recently told<\/a>\u00a0Trump to stop tweeting so much. <\/strong>All of that naturally put him in Trump\u2019s crosshairs precisely at the moment when Brazil and the US are engaged in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/brazil-us-trump-trade-tariffs-48e7ef0c1659a3fccbdf23f6508b1ac7\">trade<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/brazilenergyinsight.com\/2025\/03\/17\/brazils-petrobras-in-talks-with-us-lng-suppliers-for-long-term-deal-executive-says\/\">energy<\/a>\u00a0talks whose successful outcome is more important to Brazil than to the US.<\/p>\n<p>As luck would have it, Modi\u2019s decision to attend the latest BRICS Summit in person and thus become the first Indian Prime Minister to visit Brazil in nearly six decades provided Lula with an opportunity to give him a state visit, which might have been responsible for Xi\u2019s absence from the event as was reported. From the US\u2019 perspective, there might indeed be a connection between these two developments, which could ingratiate Lula with Trump if he comes to share that perception at his advisors\u2019 suggestion.<\/p>\n<p><strong>After all, this is\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.yahoo.com\/news\/chinese-president-xi-not-attending-113240288.html\">the first time<\/a>\u00a0that Xi won\u2019t attend a BRICS Summit in any capacity, not even remotely.<\/strong> The resultant optics fuel Western media speculation about China\u2019s commitment to the group, which can manipulate some of the global public\u2019s views regardless of its veracity. This sequence of events \u2013 China\u2019s Indian rival (which is still friendly with the US in spite of the US\u2019\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-us-is-once-again-trying-to-subordinate\">latest efforts<\/a>\u00a0to subordinate it) visiting Brazil, Xi declining to attend the BRICS Summit, and Western media\u2019s spin \u2013 aligns with US interests.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Accordingly, Xi\u2019s absence from the latest BRICS Summit (regardless of the real reason[s] behind it) might stimulate US-Brazilian ties and comparatively reduce China\u2019s role in Brazil\u2019s balancing act if India\u2019s role therein soon becomes more significant, which can altogether be considered a setback for China. <\/strong>To be sure, it\u2019s not a major one and it could potentially be reversed through skillful Chinese diplomacy, but it\u2019s still difficult for any honest observer to describe this outcome as meaningless, let alone a success.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Sun, 07\/06\/2025 &#8211; 23:55<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/analyzing-xis-absence-latest-brics-summit\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/analyzing-xis-absence-latest-brics-summit<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analyzing Xi&#8217;s Absence From The Latest BRICS Summit Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, Chinese President Xi Jinping declined to travel to Rio for the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1545602,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1545601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1545601","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1545601"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1545601\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1545602"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1545601"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1545601"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1545601"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}