{"id":1547855,"date":"2025-07-19T02:35:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-19T06:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1547855"},"modified":"2025-07-19T02:35:00","modified_gmt":"2025-07-19T06:35:00","slug":"china-might-not-want-russia-to-lose-but-it-might-not-want-russia-to-win-either","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/china-might-not-want-russia-to-lose-but-it-might-not-want-russia-to-win-either\/1547855\/","title":{"rendered":"China Might Not Want Russia To Lose, But It Might Not Want Russia To Win Either"},"content":{"rendered":"

China Might Not Want Russia To Lose, But It Might Not Want Russia To Win Either<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

A Russian loss would be catastrophic for China\u2019s security, while a Russian victory could end the discounted energy bonanza that\u2019s helping it maintain its economic growth amidst the slowdown, not to mention accelerate the US\u2019 \u201cPivot (back) to (East) Asia\u201d for more muscularly containing it.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

The\u00a0South China Morning Post<\/a>\u00a0(SCMP) cited unnamed sources to report that Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his EU counterpart that China doesn\u2019t want Russia to lose in Ukraine because the US\u2019 whole focus might then shift to China. His alleged remarks were spun by the Mainstream Media as an admission that China isn\u2019t as neutral as it claims, just as they and their\u00a0Alt-Media<\/a>\u00a0rivals suspected. Both now believe that China will help Russia win, as in obtain its\u00a0maximum goals<\/a>, but that\u2019s likely not the case.<\/p>\n

Assuming for the sake of argument that Wang did indeed say what was attributed to him, it would align with the assessment around the conflict\u2019s one-year anniversary in February 2023 that \u201cChina Doesn\u2019t Want Anyone To Win In Ukraine<\/a>\u201d. The SCMP channeled the gist of the preceding analysis by writing that \u201cOne interpretation of Wang\u2019s statement in Brussels is that while China did not ask for the war, its prolongation may suit Beijing\u2019s strategic needs, so long as the US remains engaged in Ukraine.\u201d<\/p>\n

To explain, not only would the US be unable to \u201cPivot (back) to (East) Asia\u201d for more muscularly containing China at the scale that Trump envisages if the\u00a0Ukrainian Conflict<\/a>\u00a0drags on, but the continued pressure placed upon the Russian economy by Western sanctions would benefit the Chinese economy. <\/strong>China already imports a staggering amount of discounted Russian oil, which helps maintain its economic growth\u00a0amidst the slowdown<\/a>\u00a0that it\u2019s experiencing, but this could end if sanctions were curtailed.<\/p>\n

Additionally, the greater that China\u2019s role becomes in serving as a valve for Russia from Western sanctions pressure (both in terms of energy imports for helping to finance the Russian budget but also exports that replace lost Western products), the more dependent Russia will become on China. The increasingly lopsided nature of their economic relations could then be leveraged to clinch the most preferential long-term energy deals possible as regards the\u00a0Power of Siberia II<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0other pipelines<\/a>.<\/p>\n

These outcomes could restore China\u2019s superpower trajectory that was derailed during the first six months of the\u00a0special<\/a>\u00a0operation<\/a>\u00a0as explained\u00a0here<\/a>\u00a0at the time, thus strengthening its overall resilience to US pressure and therefore making it less likely that the US can coerce a series of lopsided deals from it. It\u2019s for this reason that Trump\u2019s Special Envoy to Russia Steve Witkoff is\u00a0reportedly pushing<\/a>\u00a0for the US to lift its energy sanctions on Russia in order to deprive China of these financial and strategic benefits.<\/p>\n

The\u00a0nascent<\/a>\u00a0Russian<\/a>–US<\/a>\u00a0\u201cNew<\/a>\u00a0D\u00e9tente<\/a>\u201d could restore the Kremlin\u2019s energy clientele as a first step via phased sanctions relief, thus expanding its range of partners to preemptively avert the aforementioned Russian dependence on China, especially in the event of\u00a0joint energy cooperation in the Arctic<\/a>. The purpose, as explained\u00a0here<\/a>\u00a0in early January, would be to deprive China of decades-long access to ultra-cheap resources for fueling its superpower rise at the US\u2019 expense.<\/p>\n

All in all, a Russian victory (whether in full or in part via compromises) could end the discounted energy bonanza that\u2019s helping China maintain its economic growth amidst the slowdown, ergo why Beijing won\u2019t send military aid or troops to facilitate this (apart from also fearing serious Western sanctions).<\/strong><\/p>\n

Likewise, the scenario of the West inflicting a strategic defeat on Russia would be\u00a0catastrophic for China\u2019s security<\/a>, ergo another reason for the aforesaid imports in order to help Russia maintain its war economy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nFri, 07\/18\/2025 – 22:35<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/china-might-not-want-russia-lose-it-might-not-want-russia-win-either<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

China Might Not Want Russia To Lose, But It Might Not Want Russia To Win Either Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, A Russian loss…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1547856,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1547855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1547855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1547855"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1547855\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1547856"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1547855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1547855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1547855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}