{"id":1552409,"date":"2025-08-10T03:20:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-10T07:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1552409"},"modified":"2025-08-10T03:20:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-10T07:20:00","slug":"the-tripp-corridor-threatens-to-undermine-russias-broader-regional-position","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/the-tripp-corridor-threatens-to-undermine-russias-broader-regional-position\/1552409\/","title":{"rendered":"The TRIPP Corridor Threatens To Undermine Russia’s Broader Regional Position"},"content":{"rendered":"

The TRIPP Corridor Threatens To Undermine Russia’s Broader Regional Position<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Armenia might defect from the CSTO while Turkish and NATO influence could surge all along Russia\u2019s southern periphery, which might embolden Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan to defy Iran and Russia by building the Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline if the West promises them Ukrainian-like military support…<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

The American, Armenian, and Azerbaijani leaders jointly unveiled the \u201cTrump Route for International Peace and Prosperity\u201d (TRIPP) <\/strong>during their meeting at the White House on Friday. Previously known as the \u201cTrump Bridge\u201d<\/strong> per related media reports, it\u2019s essentially the US replacement of the corridor that Russia\u00a0envisaged in the November 2020 ceasefire<\/a>\u00a0that it mediated between those two rivals. Here are five background briefings about how this threatens to undermine Russia\u2019s broader regional position:<\/p>\n

* 1 July: \u201cThe Latest Trouble In Russian-Azerbaijani Relations Might Be Part Of A Turkish-US Powerplay<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 2 July: \u201cWhy\u2019d Erdogan Decide To Expand Turkiye\u2019s Sphere Of Influence Eastwards?<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 3 July: \u201cAliyev Expects To Rise To Global Stardom By Stirring Up Highly Publicized Trouble With Russia<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 4 July: \u201cThe Kremlin Believes That \u2018Certain Forces\u2019 Want To Disrupt Russian-Azerbaijani Relations<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

* 6 August: \u201cThe \u2018Trump Bridge\u2019 Could Lead To Russia\u2019s Expulsion From The South Caucasus<\/a>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

To summarize, the US\u2019 replacement of Russia in what Azerbaijan had up until now called the Zangezur Corridor removes Moscow\u2019s ability to monitor Turkish arms exports to Central Asia, which could turbocharge its influence among Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan with time. <\/strong><\/p>\n

Those two are part of the Russian-led CSTO and the Turkish-led \u201cOrganization of Turkic States\u201d (OTS), and it\u2019s possible that the OTS might one day assume CSTO-like security functions that lead to those two\u2019s defection from the CSTO.<\/p>\n

The US would encourage that as a means of completing its long-attempted encirclement of Russia.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Moreover, the thaw in Armenian-Azerbaijani and correspondingly also Armenian-Turkish tensions could justify Yerevan\u2019s official withdrawal from the CSTO (it already suspended its membership), which could then quickly lead to it, Azerbaijan, and Kazakhstan working more closely with NATO.<\/p>\n

The\u00a0removal<\/a>\u00a0of US legislative restrictions on military cooperation with Azerbaijan might make this a fait accompli.<\/strong><\/p>\n

These likely outcomes \u2013 the expansion of Turkish\/OTS influence into Central Asia via TRIPP, Armenia\u2019s official defection from the CSTO, and more US-led NATO influence all along Russia\u2019s southern periphery \u2013 would already pose a formidable enough challenge to Russia\u2019s broader regional position.<\/p>\n

It might get even worse though if the aforesaid scenario sequence emboldens Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan (at the US and Turkiye\u2019s urging) to unilaterally construct the long-discussed\u00a0Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n

The West has hitherto been unable to tap Turkmenistan\u2019s\u00a0gigantic gas reserves<\/a>\u00a0due to Afghanistan\u2019s instability, the sanctions on Iran, and Iran and Russia\u00a0opposing an underwater pipeline<\/a>\u00a0on environmental grounds (but which cynics suspect is meant to keep a major rival out of the global market).<\/p>\n

Even so, US and Turkiye might think that\u00a0Iran<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0Russia<\/a>\u00a0are weaker than ever,<\/strong> thus gambling that they can get them to agree under the threat of backing Azerbaijan with Ukrainian-like military support if war breaks out.<\/p>\n

To be clear, neither Azerbaijan nor Turkmenistan has hinted at plans to violate the\u00a02018 Caspian Sea Convention<\/a>\u00a0for regulating all five littoral states\u2019 activities in this body of water, but the scenario can\u2019t confidently be ruled out by Russian policymakers given their historic distrust of the West.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s unclear what they might do to preempt this latent threat to their country\u2019s broader regional position, both the Caspian Conflict scenario and everything that could precede it, but they\u2019re unlikely to take it lying down.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nSat, 08\/09\/2025 – 23:20<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/tripp-corridor-threatens-undermine-russias-broader-regional-position<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The TRIPP Corridor Threatens To Undermine Russia’s Broader Regional Position Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, Armenia might defect from the CSTO while Turkish and…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1552410,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1552409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1552409","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1552409"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1552409\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1552410"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1552409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1552409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1552409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}