{"id":1554454,"date":"2025-08-13T21:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-14T01:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1554454"},"modified":"2025-08-13T21:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-14T01:00:00","slug":"india-defied-us-pressure-to-dump-russia-for-these-five-reasons","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/india-defied-us-pressure-to-dump-russia-for-these-five-reasons\/1554454\/","title":{"rendered":"India Defied US Pressure To Dump Russia For These Five Reasons"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">India Defied US Pressure To Dump Russia For These Five Reasons<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/india-defied-us-pressure-to-dump\"><em>Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>The common denominator is India\u2019s rivalry with China&#8230;<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz%20-%202025-08-13T103200.708.jpg?itok=ezlCS-bI\"><\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Trump recently made a show of doubling his 25% tariffs on India as punishment for its continued purchase of Russian energy and military-technical equipment.<\/p>\n<p>Influenced by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/heres-how-lindsey-graham-manipulated\">Lindsey Graham<\/a>, he expected that India would dump Russia after the costs of doing business with it spiked, the Kremlin would thus lose this important foreign revenue flow, and then Putin would make concessions to Ukraine in exchange for lifting these secondary sanctions in to avoid bankruptcy.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s why India defied the US:<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>1. The \u201cVoice Of The Global South\u201d Can\u2019t Bow To US Demands<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>India has presented itself as the \u201cVoice of the Global South\u201d since it\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/indias-global-south-summit-is-the\">hosted the first<\/a>\u00a0of these namesake summits in January 2023. It\u2019s sought to play this role by virtue of being the most populous among them, commanding the largest economy of them all, and having the fast-growing one too. India is also one of the founders of the Non-Aligned Movement. If it bows to US demands, then it\u2019ll cede leadership of the Global South to China, which India doesn\u2019t consider to be part of this category of countries anymore.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>2. Discounted Russian Energy Accelerates India\u2019s Economic Rise<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>India is the world\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndtv.com\/business-news\/india-remains-the-fastest-growing-economy-morgan-stanley-8806132\">fastest-growing major economy<\/a>\u00a0and on pace to become the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/sarwantsingh\/2025\/07\/14\/indias-economic-juggernaut-on-way-to-becoming-the-3rd-largest-economy\/\">third-largest by 2028<\/a>\u00a0due in no small part to its massive import of discounted Russian energy. Not only would India scramble to replace Russia\u2019s one-third share of its oil supplies, which would lead to a surge in global prices that would decelerate its growth, but Russia would probably sell more oil to China at an even steeper discount to replace some of its lost revenue. That would be doubly bad for India\u2019s objective interests.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>3. India Can\u2019t Defend Itself From China &amp; Pakistan Without Russia<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Most of India\u2019s military equipment is still Soviet\/Russian despite the decade-long trend of diversifying its defense suppliers and promoting indigenous production. India is therefore still reliant on Russian ammo and spare parts. Accordingly, it wouldn\u2019t be able to defend itself from China and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/the-us-pakistani-rapprochement-could-have-far-reaching-geostrategic-consequences\">Pakistan<\/a>\u00a0without Russia, which is an unacceptable position to be in. In fact, some in India might suspect that the US wants to leave them at their mercy, perhaps as part of a Machiavellian deal to contain or even dismember India.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>4. Trump Is Hellbent On Derailing India\u2019s Rise As A Great Power<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Building upon the above, this eponymous analysis\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/trump-is-hellbent-on-derailing-indias\">here<\/a>\u00a0explains Trump\u2019s geostrategic machinations vis-\u00e0-vis India as of late, which are predicated on subordinating it as vassal state. Frankly speaking, India is rising too fast and becoming too independent of a force to be reckoned with in global affairs for the US\u2019 comfort, which fears that this will hasten the decline of its unipolar hegemony. Attempting to place India in a permanent position of dependence and vulnerability is one way to possibly avert this scenario.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>5.<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>India Can\u2019t Allow Russia To Become China\u2019s \u201cJunior Partner\u201d<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The earlier points contextualize this one by highlighting the importance that Russia plays in India\u2019s grand strategy. Even if India maintained military-technical ties with Russia, if it curtailed or cut off oil imports, then Russia would still likely become China\u2019s \u201cjunior partner\u201d due to the even greater economic-financial role that China would play for it. That could lead to the dangerous scenario of China pressuring Russia to curtail or cut off arms, ammo, and spares to India, thus placing it at China\u2019s and Pakistan\u2019s mercy.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>As can be seen, the common denominator between these five reasons why India defied US pressure to dump Russia is its rivalry with China, which India calculated would inevitably benefit if it complied.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The grand strategic costs of allowing that to happen are considered to be much greater than the financial ones imposed by the US.<\/strong> In fact, the US might even lift some of the latter as part of a compromise with Russia during the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/whats-responsible-for-the-upcoming\">upcoming Putin-Trump Summit<\/a>, which would be an indisputable victory for India.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" class=\"username\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Wed, 08\/13\/2025 &#8211; 17:00<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u200b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/india-defied-us-pressure-dump-russia-these-five-reasons\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/india-defied-us-pressure-dump-russia-these-five-reasons<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>India Defied US Pressure To Dump Russia For These Five Reasons Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, The common denominator is India\u2019s rivalry with China&#8230;&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1554455,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1554454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1554454","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1554454"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1554454\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1554455"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1554454"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1554454"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1554454"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}