{"id":1556125,"date":"2025-08-16T23:50:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-17T03:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1556125"},"modified":"2025-08-16T23:50:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-17T03:50:00","slug":"whats-standing-in-the-way-of-a-grand-compromise-on-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/whats-standing-in-the-way-of-a-grand-compromise-on-ukraine\/1556125\/","title":{"rendered":"What’s Standing In The Way Of A Grand Compromise On Ukraine?"},"content":{"rendered":"

What’s Standing In The Way Of A Grand Compromise On Ukraine?<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

The onus is now on Zelensky to reciprocate Putin\u2019s widely perceived willingness to compromise for peace.<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Putin and Trump publicly confirmed that they found a lot of common ground during their three-hour-long talks in Anchorage, but no grand compromise on\u00a0Ukraine<\/a>\u00a0was reached due to \u201ca couple of big [points]\u2026One is probably the most significant\u201d that remain unresolved\u00a0according to Trump<\/a>. Putin\u2019s reaffirmation of the need to \u201celiminate the primary causes of the conflict\u201d and Trump mentioning how Zelensky will \u201chave to agree\u201d with what the US achieved so far strongly hints at what these could be.<\/p>\n

As a reminder, Russia\u2019s official goals in the conflict are to: <\/strong><\/p>\n

demilitarize Ukraine; denazify it;<\/p>\n

restore the country\u2019s constitutional neutrality;<\/p>\n

and obtain recognition of the on-the-ground reality.<\/p>\n

Putin suggested that he\u2019s become more flexible as of late<\/strong>, which was\u00a0likely responsible at least in part<\/a>\u00a0for why he and Trump just met as well as for Trump\u2019s positive assessment of their talks, so he could hypothetically compromise on one, some, or all of these goals.<\/p>\n

This places the onus on Zelensky to reciprocate.<\/p>\n

In the order that Putin\u2019s goals were mentioned, Trump therefore likely expects Zelensky to either agree to: <\/strong><\/p>\n

curtail the size of his armed forces after the conflict ends;<\/p>\n

get the Rada to criminalize the glorification of WWII-era Ukrainian Nazi collaborators and\/or rescind anti-Russian legislation;<\/p>\n

have them remove the 2019 constitutional amendment about seeking NATO membership;<\/p>\n

and\/or amend the constitution to more easily cede land without first having to hold a successful All-Ukrainian referendum on this issue.<\/p>\n

Trump also said that he\u2019ll \u201ccall up NATO\u201d, likely referring to the leaders of key NATO countries, who he seemingly expects to facilitate a grand compromise by correspondingly: <\/strong><\/p>\n

agreeing not to deploy troops to Ukraine and\/or agreeing to\u00a0curtail arms exports<\/a>\u00a0to it;<\/p>\n

\u201ccreatively encouraging\u201d the Rada to pass the aforesaid socio-political, neutrality, and\/or territorial cession reforms (e.g. threatening to curtail aid if they don\u2019t);<\/p>\n

and\/or explicitly declaring that they\u2019ll no longer approve Ukraine\u2019s NATO membership bid.<\/p>\n

They might not do so willing, however, so it\u2019s possible that Trump could: <\/strong><\/p>\n

greatly reduce or even abandon the scale of\u00a0mid-July\u2019s scheme<\/a>\u00a0to sell new US arms to NATO for passing along to Ukraine;<\/p>\n

threaten to cut off all military ties with any country that deploys troops to Ukraine;<\/p>\n

threaten to impose more tariffs on countries that don\u2019t \u201ccreatively encourage\u201d the Rada to pass the aforesaid reforms;<\/p>\n

and\/or threaten to reduce the US\u2019 role in NATO if members don\u2019t explicitly declare their opposition to Ukraine joining.<\/p>\n

If Trump and his NATO subordinates convince Zelensky to agree to some of these compromises, then Putin might agree to:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ukraine retaining a larger military than what was agreed to in\u00a0spring 2022\u2019s draft peace treaty<\/a>;<\/p>\n

not pursue full-fledged denazification (e.g. tacitly accepting that traces of this ideology will remain in Ukrainian society);<\/p>\n

not object to Ukraine\u2019s limited bilateral cooperation with NATO members;<\/p>\n

and\/or indefinitely freeze Russia\u2019s territorial claims (i.e. still retain but not actively pursue them).<\/p>\n

This pathway towards a grand compromise could be derailed by: a Ukrainian\u00a0false-flag provocation against civilians<\/a>\u00a0that turns Trump against Russia; a false-flag provocation elsewhere like\u00a0in the Baltic Sea<\/a>\u00a0to the same end; and\/or any serious expansion of Russia\u2019s ground campaign beyond the disputed regions.<\/p>\n

Trump might not be misled by any false flags while Putin might limit the scope of the\u00a0special<\/a>\u00a0operation<\/a>\u00a0as a \u201cgoodwill gesture\u201d, however, so peace is possible if Zelensky finally agrees to compromise.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nSat, 08\/16\/2025 – 19:50<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/whats-standing-way-grand-compromise-ukraine<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

What’s Standing In The Way Of A Grand Compromise On Ukraine? Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, The onus is now on Zelensky to reciprocate…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1556126,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1556125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1556125","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1556125"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1556125\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1556126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1556125"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1556125"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1556125"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}