{"id":1557089,"date":"2025-08-18T21:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-19T01:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1557089"},"modified":"2025-08-18T21:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-19T01:00:00","slug":"us-pressure-might-inadvertently-bring-india-china-back-together","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/us-pressure-might-inadvertently-bring-india-china-back-together\/1557089\/","title":{"rendered":"US Pressure Might Inadvertently Bring India & China Back Together"},"content":{"rendered":"

US Pressure Might Inadvertently Bring India & China Back Together<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

The pretext upon which Trump recently doubled tariffs on India to 50% was its continued trade with Russia, which India has refused to curtail <\/strong>for the five reasons explained\u00a0here<\/a>, yet it turns out that the US-Russian trade increased by 20% since he returned to office. This was\u00a0confirmed\u00a0<\/a>by Putin himself during his remarks to the press after he met Trump for\u00a0three-hour-long talks in Anchorage<\/a>\u00a0late last week. Leading Indian media\u00a0NDTV<\/a>\u00a0and others then drew attention to this blatant double standard.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

No doubt should therefore remain about how hellbent Trump is on\u00a0derailing India\u2019s rise<\/a>\u00a0as a Great Power. <\/strong>The real reason why he doubled tariffs on India wasn\u2019t due to its continued trade with Russia, but to coerce it into opening up its agricultural and dairy markets to American imports. He might also have expected that displaced workers, and some of the\u00a046% of the population<\/a>\u00a0employed in these industries would indeed lose their livelihoods, could then become low-cost factory labor for US companies.<\/p>\n

Even if Trump is only driven by economic motives in this regard, his permanent policymaking bureaucracy (\u201cdeep state\u201d) likely has more sinister ones such as weaponizing the large-scale socio-political unrest that would inevitably follow massive unemployment among Indian farmers. No self-respecting leader could accept these consequences and that\u2019s why Prime Minister Narendra Modi\u00a0pledged<\/a>\u00a0during his speech on India\u2019s Independence Day to support his country\u2019s agricultural industry.<\/p>\n

It was little wonder then that NDTV cited sources to report shortly thereafter that a US trade team\u2019s visit to India in late August has been\u00a0called off<\/a>\u00a0and will likely be rescheduled for an as-yet unknown date. Several days prior, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent\u00a0publicly called on<\/a>\u00a0the EU to emulate his country\u2019s \u201csecondary sanctions, or secondary tariffs, on India because of their consumption of Russian oil\u201d. The EU\u00a0still purchases<\/a>\u00a0Russian energy, however, so any such sanctions\/tariffs would be as hypocritical as the US\u2019.<\/p>\n

Nevertheless, seeing as how the EU just subordinated itself as the US\u2019\u00a0largest-ever vassal state<\/a>\u00a0via their lopsided trade deal, it can\u2019t be ruled out that it\u2019ll follow its patron\u2019s lead. <\/strong>The combined effect of major US and EU tariffs on India could decelerate its growth, which is the\u00a0fastest in the world<\/a>, but the socio-political consequences would still be more manageable than if it opened its agricultural and dairy markets to their exports. India might thus soon recalibrate its\u00a0multi-alignment<\/a>\u00a0policy accordingly.<\/p>\n

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi is in India for the\u00a0first time in three years<\/a>\u00a0to discuss their unresolved border dispute that\u2019s toxified bilateral ties since their lethal clashes in summer 2020. Modi will then\u00a0visit Tianjin<\/a>\u00a0at the end of the month for the\u00a0SCO<\/a>\u00a0leaders\u2019 summit. India\u2019s worsening ties with the West, first the US and perhaps soon also the EU, might thus serve as the catalyst for taking its\u00a0incipient rapprochement<\/a>\u00a0with China even further through the resumption of border trade\u00a0as reported<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Any meaningful improvement of Sino-Indo ties, especially in the economic dimension (which might first require making progress on resolving their border dispute), could prompt Trump to either walk back his hardline policy on India to court it away from China or punitively double down on this approach. <\/strong>The first could help repair their ties\u00a0even though<\/a>\u00a0India\u2019s trust in the US might remain shattered while the second could turbocharge multipolar processes. Observers should therefore keep a very close eye on all of this.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nMon, 08\/18\/2025 – 17:00<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/us-pressure-might-inadvertently-bring-india-china-back-together<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

US Pressure Might Inadvertently Bring India & China Back Together Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, The pretext upon which Trump recently doubled tariffs on…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1557090,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1557089","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1557089","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1557089"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1557089\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1557090"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1557089"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1557089"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1557089"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}