{"id":1559947,"date":"2025-08-23T13:20:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-23T17:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/?p=1559947"},"modified":"2025-08-23T13:20:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-23T17:20:00","slug":"which-western-security-guarantees-for-ukraine-might-be-acceptable-to-putin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/which-western-security-guarantees-for-ukraine-might-be-acceptable-to-putin\/1559947\/","title":{"rendered":"Which Western Security Guarantees For Ukraine Might Be Acceptable To Putin?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Which Western Security Guarantees For Ukraine Might Be Acceptable To Putin?<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

He might hypothetically agree that the resumption of NATO\u2019s present support for Ukraine (arms, intelligence, logistics, etc.) in the event of another conflict wouldn\u2019t cross Russia\u2019s red lines but he\u2019s unlikely to compromise on the issue of Western troops in Ukraine once the present conflict ends.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Steve Witkoff\u2019s\u00a0claim<\/a>\u00a0that Putin allegedly agreed to the US offering Ukraine \u201cArticle 5-like protection\u201d during the Anchorage Summit, <\/strong>which Trump\u00a0repeated<\/a>\u00a0during his White House Summit with Zelensky and a handful of European leaders, raises the question of what form this could hypothetically take if true. Assuming for the sake of analysis that he did indeed agree to this, it\u2019s important to clarify exactly what Article 5 entails. For starters, it doesn\u2019t obligate allies to dispatch troops if one of them is attacked.<\/p>\n

Per the\u00a0North Atlantic Treaty<\/a>, each member only has to take \u201csuch action as it deems necessary\u201d, which could include \u201cthe use of armed forces\u201d but doesn\u2019t have to. <\/strong>As was explained earlier this year\u00a0here<\/a>, \u201cUkraine has arguably enjoyed the benefits of this principle for the past three years despite not being a NATO member since it\u2019s received everything other than troops from the alliance.\u201d Arms, intelligence, logistical, and other forms of support have already been provided to Ukraine in the spirit of Article 5.<\/p>\n

It might therefore be the case that Putin agreed that such \u201cArticle 5-like protection\u201d could be resumed in the event of another conflict without crossing Russia\u2019s red lines. Although Russia objects to Ukraine\u2019s remilitarization after the\u00a0present conflict<\/a>\u00a0ends, it\u2019s possible that it could agree to this too as part of a grand compromise in exchange for some of its other goals being met as explained\u00a0here<\/a>. What Russia doesn\u2019t agree to, however, is the dispatch of Western troops to Ukraine after the present conflict ends.<\/p>\n

Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova\u00a0declared<\/a>\u00a0on the day of the White House Summit that \u201cWe reiterate our long-standing position of unequivocally rejecting any scenarios involving the deployment of NATO military contingents in Ukraine\u201d. This position isn\u2019t expected to change since one of the reasons behind the\u00a0special<\/a>\u00a0operation<\/a>\u00a0is to stop NATO\u2019s expansion inside Ukraine. Western boots on the ground there afterwards would therefore amount to the perceived failure of Russia\u2019s primary goal.<\/p>\n

This would especially be the case if they\u2019re deployed along the Line of Contact<\/strong>, but their deployment west of the Dnieper in parallel with the creation of a demilitarized \u201cTrans-Dnieper\u201d region controlled by non-Western peacekeepers as proposed\u00a0here<\/a>\u00a0could hypothetically be a compromise. That said, Russia would prefer for there to only be non-Western peacekeepers, if any at all. The deployment of foreign military forces, regardless of the country, could embolden Ukraine to stage false-flag provocations.<\/p>\n

To summarize, in the order of the most hypothetically acceptable Western security guarantees to Ukraine to the least hypothetically acceptable from Russia\u2019s perspective, these are:<\/p>\n

1) the resumption of Western support for Ukraine only if another conflict erupts and without any peacekeepers at all; <\/em><\/p>\n

2) continued Western support but with non-Western peacekeepers;\u00a0 and <\/em><\/p>\n

3) continued Western support, Western troops west of the Dnieper, and non-Western troops in a demilitarized \u201cTrans-Dnieper\u201d region.<\/em><\/p>\n

The scope of Ukraine\u2019s demilitarization and the extent of Western security guarantees to it after the present conflict ends are of the utmost importance for Russia in order to prevent Ukraine from once again being weaponized as a launchpad for Western aggression. It\u2019s therefore highly unlikely that Russia will compromise much on this issue, especially the scenario of Western troops in Ukraine. Russia might be more flexible on other issues, but on this one, it might prove unwavering.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nSat, 08\/23\/2025 – 09:20<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/which-western-security-guarantees-ukraine-might-be-acceptable-putin<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Which Western Security Guarantees For Ukraine Might Be Acceptable To Putin? Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, He might hypothetically agree that the resumption of…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1559948,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1559947","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1559947","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1559947"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1559947\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1559948"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1559947"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1559947"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1559947"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}