{"id":1571107,"date":"2025-09-11T03:50:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T07:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/the-us-might-try-to-manipulate-nepal-into-weaponizing-its-revived-border-dispute-with-india-2\/1571107\/"},"modified":"2025-09-11T03:50:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-11T07:50:00","slug":"the-us-might-try-to-manipulate-nepal-into-weaponizing-its-revived-border-dispute-with-india-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/the-us-might-try-to-manipulate-nepal-into-weaponizing-its-revived-border-dispute-with-india-2\/1571107\/","title":{"rendered":"The US Might Try To Manipulate Nepal Into Weaponizing Its Revived Border Dispute With India"},"content":{"rendered":"

The US Might Try To Manipulate Nepal Into Weaponizing Its Revived Border Dispute With India<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

The student-driven riots that were putatively sparked by the state\u2019s banning of social media after top platforms failed to register in line with the law might be a front for ultra-nationalist extremists backed by the West in a remix of summer 2024\u2019s Bangladeshi regime change model.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Nepal\u00a0formally complained<\/a>\u00a0in late August after\u00a0China<\/a>\u00a0and India agreed to resume their border trade through the Lipulekh crossing.\u00a0Newly ousted<\/a>\u00a0Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli also\u00a0brought it up<\/a>\u00a0during his meeting with President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the SCO Summit in Tianjin. Kathmandu lays claim to this territory and a mountainous sliver beyond\u00a0per a colonial-era dispute<\/a>\u00a0but only rigorously began pursuing it in the run-up to summer 2020\u2019s Sino-Indo clashes.<\/p>\n

This context suggests that Nepal expected Chinese backing against India, calculating that it could benefit from this via privileged economic and military support or at the very least by profiting off of facilitating their trade if their bilateral dispute kept border crossings closed indefinitely. What Oli (who was Prime Minister back then and once again till recently after a three-year hiatus) couldn\u2019t have foreseen, just like mostly everyone else, was the\u00a0Sino-Indo rapprochement<\/a>\u00a0that the US just\u00a0inadvertently brought about<\/a>.<\/p>\n

He’s a communist with Machiavellian characteristics <\/strong>as proven by the aforementioned foreign policy calculation and his hitherto crafty politicking, but he\u2019s also somewhat of an idealist who simply couldn\u2019t countenance the realpolitik involved in fellow communist China\u2019s latest own calculations vis-\u00e0-vis India. Simply put, China\u2019s interests in the present context are best served by prioritizing India\u2019s interests over Nepal\u2019s in those two\u2019s dispute, which appears to have truly caught Oli and his government off guard.<\/p>\n

Nevertheless, China\u2019s mercantile move doesn\u2019t come at any tangible expense to Nepal since it hasn\u2019t controlled this territory for over 200 years, but the political consequences might possibly push Nepal to recalibrate its balancing act by leaning more on the US. <\/strong>That\u2019s precisely what India did from 2015 till just recently due to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, the flagship project of China\u2019s Belt & Road Initiative, passing through Pakistani-controlled Kashmiri territory that India claims as its own.<\/p>\n

India\u2019s pro-US foreign policy recalibration took the form of them comprehensively expanding economic and military ties, while Nepal\u2019s might focus more on developmental assistance such as the\u00a0almost-cut<\/a>\u00a0\u201cMillennium Challenge Corporation\u201d, which is aimed at\u00a0countering Sino-Indo influence<\/a>\u00a0there. Geography limits the extent to which a potentially pro-US Nepal could become a wedge between China and India, but it could still at minimum turn into a bastion of hostile \u201cNGO\u201d operations after Oli\u2019s surprise ouster.<\/p>\n

The student-driven riots that were putatively sparked by the state\u2019s banning of social media after top platforms failed to register in line with the law might be a front for\u00a0ultra-nationalist extremists<\/a>\u00a0backed by the West in a remix of\u00a0summer 2024\u2019s Bangladeshi regime change model<\/a>. It therefore can\u2019t be ruled out that the new Nepali authorities might be tasked by the US with weaponizing their country\u2019s border dispute with India as punishment for Delhi\u00a0refusing to submit<\/a>\u00a0to Washington\u2019s demands on Russia.<\/p>\n

All in all, there are three takeaways from the latest twist in this dispute that suspiciously preceded Oli\u2019s ouster: <\/strong><\/p>\n

1) China is prioritizing India\u2019s interests over Nepal\u2019s in furtherance of its own; <\/em><\/p>\n

2) Nepalis might be manipulated by the US against both as a result; and <\/em><\/p>\n

3) this could be weaponized by the new authorities. <\/em><\/p>\n

The best-case scenario is that they prioritize economic and anti-corruption reforms instead of letting themselves be exploited as geopolitical pawns, but it\u2019s too early to say exactly what they\u2019ll do.<\/p>\n

Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of ZeroHedge.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nWed, 09\/10\/2025 – 23:50<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200bhttps:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/us-might-try-manipulate-nepal-weaponizing-its-revived-border-dispute-india<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The US Might Try To Manipulate Nepal Into Weaponizing Its Revived Border Dispute With India Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack, The student-driven riots that…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":1571079,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1571107","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","wpcat-1-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1571107","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1571107"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1571107\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1571079"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1571107"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1571107"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bugaluu.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1571107"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}