By contrast, in one paper, “The Simple Macroeconomics of AI,” published in the August issue of Economic Policy, Acemoglu estimates that over the next decade, AI will produce a “modest increase” in GDP between 1.1 to 1.6 percent over the next 10 years, with a roughly 0.05 percent annual gain in productivity.
https://news.mit.edu/2024/what-do-we-know-about-economics-ai-1206

